Front Cover -- Title Page -- Copyright Page -- Contents -- Acknowledgments -- About the Author -- Abbreviations -- Overview -- Introduction -- Main Results -- Policy Directions -- Notes -- References -- Chapter 1 How Trade Can Affect Conflict -- Introduction -- Trade Flows in Fragile Countries Are Different -- Why Changes in Trade Flows May Affect Conflict -- Cross-Country Evidence on Trade Shocks and Conflict -- Evidence from Nigerian States (2004-13) -- Evidence from the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict (2000-04) -- Notes -- References -- Chapter 2 Conditions That Affect the Impact of Trade Shocks on Conflict -- Introduction -- Grievances -- Institutional Capacity and Inclusiveness -- Conditions in Neighboring Countries -- Transmission of Prices to Domestic Markets -- Cross-Country Empirical Tests -- Testing for the Importance of Heterogeneity in the Nigerian Conflict -- Heterogeneity in the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict -- Notes -- References -- Chapter 3 How Trade Policy Could Ease Tensions in Fragile Countries -- Trade Policies in Fragile Countries Must Take into Account the Implications for Conflict -- Manage Receipts from Commodity Exports in a Conflict-Sensitive Way -- Protect Producers, Consumers, and Workers from Adverse Trade Shocks -- Promote Trade with Neighbors -- Support Labor-Intensive Exports -- Build Long-Term Conflict Resilience -- Notes -- References -- Appendix A Data Issues -- Appendix B Estimation Methodology and Empirical Results -- Boxes -- Figures -- Maps -- Tables -- Back Cover.