Cover -- Front Matter -- Preface -- Contents -- Tables and Figures -- Executive Summary -- 1 Introduction -- 2 The Accuracy of Past Projections -- 3 Transitional Fertility -- 4 Posttransition Fertility -- 5 Mortality -- 6 International Migration -- 7 The Uncertainty of Population Forecasts -- Biographical Sketches -- Index -- APPENDIX A Computer Software Packages for Projecting Population -- APPENDIX B Accuracy of Population Projections from the 1970s to the 1990s -- APPENDIX C Predicting the Pace of Fertility Decline -- APPENDIX D The Effect of Projection Error in Life Expectancy -- APPENDIX E Simulating Migration Projections -- APPENDIX F Estimating Expected Errors from Past Errors.