PREFACE -- FIGURES -- TABLES -- SUMMARY -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- ACRONYMS -- Chapter One INTRODUCTION: THE REGIONAL CONTEXT -- GEOPOLITICAL IMPORTANCE OF SOUTHEAST ASIA -- EVOLUTION OF THE SOUTHEAST ASIAN SECURITY ENVIRONMENT -- Chapter Two INDONESIA'S FRAGILE DEMOCRATIC EXPERIMENT -- THE POLITICAL DIMENSION: FROM SUHARTO TO WAHID -- THE ECONOMIC DIMENSION -- Economic and Social Consequences of the Economic Crisis -- The Uncertain Path to Recovery -- Chapter Three THE EAST TIMOR CRISIS AND ITS CONSEQUENCES -- Chapter Four THE CHALLENGE OF SEPARATISM AND ETHNIC AND RELIGIOUS CONFLICT -- ACEH: THE EYE OF THE STORM -- PROSPECTS FOR PEACE IN ACEH -- SEPARATISM IN IRIAN JAYA (PAPUA) -- ETHNIC AND RELIGIOUS VIOLENCE IN EASTERN AND CENTRAL INDONESIA -- "ETHNIC CLEANSING" IN KALIMANTAN -- Chapter Five REINVENTING INDONESIA: THE CHALLENGE OF DECENTRALIZATION -- Chapter Six THE MILITARY IN TRANSITION -- ORGANIZATION, MISSIONS, AND CAPABILITIES -- THE TERRITORIAL SYSTEM AND THE DUAL FUNCTION -- CIVIL-MILITARY RELATIONS FROM SUHARTO TO WAHID -- DOCTRINAL CHANGE IN THE TNI -- Chapter Seven ALTERNATIVE INDONESIAN FUTURES -- DEMOCRATIC CONSOLIDATION -- ABORTED TRANSITION AND POLITICAL BREAKDOWN -- VARIANTS OF MILITARY RULE -- WORST-CASE SCENARIOS: RADICAL ISLAMIC RULE AND DISINTEGRATION -- PROBABLE OUTCOMES -- Chapter Eight REGIONAL CONSEQUENCES OF INDONESIAN FUTURES -- Chapter Nine MUSLIM SEPARATIST MOVEMENTS IN THE PHILIPPINES AND THAILAND -- THE MORO INSURGENCY -- PROSPECTS FOR PEACE IN THE PHILIPPINES -- MUSLIM SEPARATISM IN SOUTHERN THAILAND -- Chapter Ten IMPLICATIONS FOR THE UNITED STATES AND THE U.S. AIR FORCE -- BIBLIOGRAPHY.