Cover -- Half-title -- Series-title -- Title -- Copyright -- Contents -- List of Tables and Figures -- tables -- figures -- Preface -- 1 Constitutional Quandaries and Social Choice -- 1.1 introduction. -- 1.2 balancing risk and chaos -- 1.3 preferences and judgments -- 1.4 the "institutional narrative" of the book -- 2 Power and Social Choice -- 2.1 introduction. -- 2.2 the world today -- 2.3 democratic dilemmas -- 2.4 the logic of empire -- 2.5 social choice theory: autocracy and risk -- 2.6 social choice in britain: 1625-1776 -- 2.7 the agrarian empire in north america -- 2.8 the end of empire in britain -- 2.9 concluding remarks -- 3 Franklin and the War of Independence -- 3.1 introduction. -- 3.2 the quandary of the declaration of independence -- 3.3 the decision to declare independence -- 3.4 appendixes -- 3.4.1 The Quebec Act, October 7, 1774 -- 3.4.2 Declaration and Resolves of the First Continental Congress, October 14, 1774 -- 3.4.3 Declaration of Independence, July 4, 1776 -- 4 Madison, Jefferson, and Condorcet -- 4.1 the ratification of the constitution. -- 4.2 the conflict over union and confederation -- 4.3 social choice and constitutional theory -- 4.4 land and capital in north america, 1756-1800 -- 4.5 the influence of condorcet on madison and jefferson -- 4.6 origins of the two-party system in the 1790s -- 4.7 concluding remarks -- 4.8 appendix -- 4.8.1 Speech by Benjamin Franklin to the Constitutional Convention on September 17, 1787 -- 5 Lincoln and the Civil War -- 5.1 introduction. -- 5.2 the intersectional party balance -- 5.3 dred scott and the supreme court, 1857 -- 5.4 the illinois election of 1858 -- 5.5 lincoln in new york and new haven -- 5.6 the presidential election of 1860 -- 5.7 concluding remarks -- 6 Johnson and the Critical Realignment of 1964 -- 6.1 introduction. -- 6.2 partisan realignments from 1896 to 2000.

6.3 party competition in two dimensions -- 6.4 equilibrium in candidate competition -- 6.5 party activist equilibrium -- 6.6 a joint model of activists and candidates -- 6.7 third parties -- 6.8 summary of the model -- 6.9 partisan strategies -- The Decline of Race and the Rise of Class: 1896-1960 -- The Decline of Class and the Rise of Race: 1960 to 2000 -- 6.10 choices, credible commitment, and path dependence -- 6.11 concluding remarks -- 7 Keynes and the Atlantic Constitution -- 7.1 introduction. -- 7.2 ordering the political economy -- 7.3 prophets of chaos -- 7.4 political and economic beliefs in the constitution -- 7.5 the collapse of hegemony in the 1970s -- 7.6 keynes and the quandary of the 1930s -- Chaos, (from χαoσ, Greek), void, confusion. -- 7.7 the constitutional quandary of 1944 -- Quandary, a state of extreme perplexity or uncertainty. -- 7.8 architects of change, 1944-1948 -- 7.9 concluding remarks -- 8 Preferences and Beliefs -- 8.1 introduction. -- 8.2 hobbesian and lockean views of society -- 8.3 condorcet and social truth -- 8.4 scientific truth -- Paradigm, from the Greek, παραδεiγμα, "pattern" -- 8.5 core beliefs and the heart -- 8.6 modelling beliefs -- 8.7 modelling elections -- 8.8 a formal model of elections -- 8.9 appendix: condorcet's jury theorem -- 9 Political Change -- Bibliography -- supplementary reading -- Index.