Energy Budgets at Risk (EBaR): A Risk Management Approach to Energy Purchase and Efficiency Choices -- Contents -- Preface -- VALUE AT RISK (VaR) APPROACH TO FACILITY ENERGY RISK MANAGEMENT -- AN EBaR FACILITY ENERGY RISK MANAGEMENT STANDARD -- APPLYING EBaR AT YOUR FACILITY -- IS AN EBaR STRATEGY RIGHT FOR YOUR ORGANIZATION? -- GOING GREEN, CARBON FOOTPRINTS, AND EBaR -- WHO SHOULD READ THIS BOOK? -- ORGANIZATION OF THE BOOK -- energybudgetsatrisk.com -- Chapter 1: Energy Markets and Budgets at Risk -- RECENT PRICE INCREASES -- APPLYING RISK MANAGEMENT TO ENERGY BUDGETS -- ENERGY BUDGETS AT RISK WORKSHOPS -- AN ENERGY BUDGETS AT RISK (EBaR) OVERVIEW -- A LOOK BACK AT ENERGY PRICES -- A LOOK FORWARD: ENERGY DEMAND AND SUPPLY FACTORS -- ENERGY PRICE FORECASTS -- GOING GREEN-THE CRITICAL ROLE OF EFFICIENCY INVESTMENTS -- EBaR AS A POLICY OPTION -- SUMMARY -- Chapter 2: Facility Efficiency Options -- FACILITY ENERGY MANAGEMENT -- EFFICIENCY OPTIONS -- CALCULATING COST AND SAVINGS -- SUMMARY: A WORD TO NONENERGY ENGINEERS -- Chapter 3: The Nature of Energy Costs and Prices -- ENERGY PRICE OVERVIEW -- ELECTRIC COSTS AND RATES -- DEREGULATED ELECTRIC MARKETS -- END-USE COSTS -- INCENTIVES TO REDUCE ENERGY USE -- FINANCING ENERGY-EFFICIENCY INVESTMENTS -- SUMMARY -- Chapter 4: Capital Budgeting: Theory and Practice -- NET PRESENT VALUE AND IRR ANALYSIS -- REAL OPTIONS-WHEN PROCRASTINATION PAYS -- CAPITAL BUDGETING IN PRACTICE -- SUMMARY -- Chapter 5: Facility Energy Risk Management Foundations -- CAPITAL BUDGETING AND RISK MANAGEMENT -- A BRIEF HISTORY OF FINANCIAL RISK ANALYSIS (VaR) -- APPLYING A VaR APPROACH TO FACILITY ENERGY RISK MANAGEMENT -- PROGNOSIS -- SUMMARY -- Chapter 6: EBaR Concepts and Results -- ENERGY BUDGETS AT RISK (EBaR) OVERVIEW -- EBaR MANAGEMENT PRESENTATIONS -- SUMMARY.

Chapter 7: Beginning Empirical EBaR Analysis: Risk and Probability Distributions -- ENERGY RISK -- PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION FUNDAMENTALS -- EXTRACTING INFORMATION FROM PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS -- APPLYING DISTRIBUTIONS WITH MONTE CARLO ANALYSIS -- energybudgetsatrisk.com -- SUMMARY -- Chapter 8: EBaR Budget Analysis Implementation-Developing Quantitative Relationships -- EBaR ANALYSIS STEPS -- ANALYSIS COMPLEXITY -- BUDGET VARIABLE IDENTIFICATION -- BUDGET VARIABLE ANALYSIS -- DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT -- SUMMARY -- Chapter 9: EBaR Budget Analysis (EBaRbudget) -- MONTE CARLO FRAMEWORK -- EVALUATION AND ASSESSMENT -- SUMMARY -- Chapter 10: EBaR Efficiency Investment Analysis (EBaRirr) -- SOLVING THE EFFICIENCY INVESTMENT PROBLEM -- CASE STUDY: EFFICIENCY INVESTMENT OPTIONS -- REPRESENTING INVESTMENT ANALYSIS UNCERTAINTY -- CASE STUDY EFFICIENCY INVESTMENT ANALYSIS RESULTS -- ACHIEVING CO2 AND OTHER GREEN GOALS -- SUMMARY -- Chapter 11: Energy Budgets at Risk in Competitive Markets -- COMPETITIVE ENERGY SUPPLIERS -- PRICING/EFFICIENCY MISCONCEPTIONS IN COMPETITIVE MARKETS -- EBaR SIMULTANEOUS PRICING AND EFFICIENCY INVESTMENT CHOICE -- SUMMARY -- Chapter 12: EBaR Reports: Making the Case for Energy Efficiency Investments -- EBaR BUDGET AND INVESTMENT ANALYSIS -- ADDITIONAL REPORT INFORMATION -- ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON EBaR APPLICATIONS, EXPERIENCE, AND REPORTING -- Appendix: Benchmarking Your Facility's Energy Use with MAISY Data -- TABLE USAGE -- TABLE SPECIFICATIONS -- CALCULATING YOUR POTENTIAL ENERGY SAVINGS -- EXAMPLE APPLICATION -- SUMMARY -- Notes -- Index.