Contents -- Introduction -- Part I: The New Search for Wisdom -- 1 The Central Role of Human Judgment -- 2 Combating Uncertainty -- Part II: Strategies of Human Judgment -- 3 The Strategy of Seeking Correspondence Competence -- 4 The (Mis)Judgments of Colin Powell -- 5 The Coherence Strategy: Trying to Be Rational -- 6 Kennedy and Khrushchev: Seeking-and Failing-to Learn about the Other -- 7 How the Drive for Coherence Brings Down Utopias -- Part III: Tactics of Human Judgment -- 8 Continua -- 9 The Cognitive Continuum at the Supreme Court -- 10 Intuition: Seeking Empirical Accuracy the Easy Way -- 11 Analysis: Seeking Empirical Accuracy the Hard Way -- 12 Intuition: Seeking Rationality the Easy Way -- 13 Analysis: Seeking Rationality the Hard Way -- 14 Robert Rubin: Embedded in an Uncertain World -- Part IV: Themes Guiding Research -- 15 Current Research Themes -- 16 The Author's Theme -- Part V: Looking Backward -- 17 Trying to Learn from History with Bernard Lewis and Jared Diamond -- 18 Toward Better Practices -- 19 Ineptitude and the Tools of War -- 20 The New Search for Wisdom -- Notes -- Bibliography -- Index -- A -- B -- C -- D -- E -- F -- G -- H -- I -- J -- K -- L -- M -- N -- O -- P -- R -- S -- T -- U -- V -- W -- Y -- Z.