Contents -- List of Tables -- List of Figures -- Chapter 1. What Do We Mean by Change? -- The Study of Change -- Chapter 2. Some Definitions -- Natural Systems -- Artificial Systems -- Social Systems -- Technical Systems -- Socio-Technical Systems -- A System -- Complicated System -- Complex System -- A Component's Environment -- Co-Evolutionary Systems -- Thresholds -- Propagation -- Initial Conditions -- Design Space -- Chapter 3. Failure by Design -- Socio-Technical Design Failure -- Chapter 4. Influence, Boundaries and Structure -- Examples -- Case 1 -- Influences -- Decisions -- Transition -- Case 2 -- Influences -- Decisions -- Transition -- New influences after the change -- Influence -- Boundaries -- Organisation or Network Structure -- Regular Networks -- Random Networks -- Small-World Networks -- Layered and Hierarchic Aspects -- Systems have a Past and a Future -- Layers of Change -- Chapter 5. Change in Complex Systems -- Fitness and Change -- Change in an N-dimensional Design Space -- The Co-Evolutionary Process -- The Threshold -- Resistance to Change -- Chapter 6. Propagation -- The Temporal Effect -- An Illustration of Propagation in a Model -- Chapter 7. Modelling and Modelling Mechanisms -- Models -- Computer-Based Models -- Aspects of Model Design -- Coupling -- Intra-component coupling -- Inter-component coupling -- Cumulative Effect -- Structural Change -- Mechanisms -- Cellular Automata -- Simultaneous Change -- Subsequent Changes -- Feedback -- Agent-Based Models -- Chapter 8. Simulation -- The SeeChange Program and the System Structure -- A "Cellular Automata" Application of SeeChange -- Small-World Application of SeeChange -- Applying SeeChange to a Business Model -- Comparison of SeeChange with Commercial Tools -- Insight and Understanding of System Behaviour -- Insight into Interaction with Complex Systems.

Chapter 9. What Do We Do When a Change is Indicated? -- Messes, Problems and Puzzles -- Design by Increments -- Forecasting -- Chapter 10. Implementing a System -- Early Architectures -- Mutability -- The Crucial Role of Time -- Design of Computer-Based Systems -- Design Strategy -- Chapter 11. Real-World Change: EUREKA Class -- Aspects of the Change Process on a Ship -- EUREKA Simple Simulation -- Independent Changes -- Impact Analysis -- A Model of Change on a EUREKA Ship -- A SeeChange Model of Changes to a Ship -- Physical Model -- Basic ship flotation mechanics -- Functions -- Structure of the SeeChange Model System -- Simulation results -- Initialisation -- Installing the Radar system -- Installing the Deckgun and DeckgunAmmunition components -- Installing the AuxiliaryGenerator -- Model of a decision-making component -- Influence -- Resistance -- Chapter 12. Real-World Change: Climate -- Climate Variables -- Solar radiation variation -- Changes in the Earth's orientation -- Eccentricity -- Tilt -- Precession -- Albedo -- Plate tectonics -- Ocean variability -- Air currents -- Glaciation and polar ice sheets -- Volcanoes -- Vegetation -- Human influences -- Atmospheric gases and the greenhouse effect -- Climate Data -- Paleoclimatology -- Ice cores -- Pollen residues -- Tree rings -- Corals -- Rocks -- Climate Models -- Simulation of Climate Models -- Chapter 13. In the Future -- Surprise is Always the Result of Change, Accept It -- Bibliography -- Index.