
The Art and Science of Technical Analysis : Market Structure, Price Action and Trading Strategies.
Title:
The Art and Science of Technical Analysis : Market Structure, Price Action and Trading Strategies.
Author:
Grimes, Adam.
ISBN:
9781118224274
Personal Author:
Edition:
1st ed.
Physical Description:
1 online resource (481 pages)
Series:
Wiley Trading Ser. ; v.546
Wiley Trading Ser.
Contents:
The Art and Science of Technical Analysis: Market Structure, Price Action, and Trading Strategies -- Contents -- Preface -- Acknowledgments -- PART I The Foundation of Technical Analysis -- CHAPTER 1 The Trader's Edge -- DEFINING A TRADING EDGE -- Expected Value -- Where Does the Edge Come From? -- The Holy Grail -- FINDING AND DEVELOPING YOUR EDGE -- Why Small Traders Can Make Money -- GENERAL PRINCIPLES OF CHART READING -- Choosing Time Frames -- Bars, Candles, or Other Choices -- INDICATORS -- THE TWO FORCES: TOWARD A NEW UNDERSTANDING OF MARKET ACTION -- PRICE ACTION AND MARKET STRUCTURE ON CHARTS -- Pivot Points -- Length of Swing -- Reading Inside the Bars -- CHARTING BY HAND -- CHAPTER 2 The Market Cycle and the Four Trades -- WYCKOFF'S MARKET CYCLE -- Accumulation-Building a Base -- Markup: The Classic Uptrend -- Distribution-The End? -- Markdown: The Bear Market -- The Cycle in Action -- THE FOUR TRADES -- Trend Continuation -- Trend Termination -- Support or Resistance Holding -- Support or Resistance Breaking or Failing -- SUMMARY -- PART II Market Structure -- CHAPTER 3 On Trends -- THE FUNDAMENTAL PATTERN -- Fractal Markets -- TREND STRUCTURE -- Impulse and Momentum -- Climaxes -- Pullbacks -- Measured Move Objective -- Three Pushes -- A DEEPER LOOK AT PULLBACKS: THE QUINTESSENTIAL TREND TRADING PATTERN -- Characteristics of Winning Pullbacks -- Common Characteristics of Failed Pullbacks -- TREND ANALYSIS -- Dow Theory Trend Patterns -- Indicators -- Understanding Trend Integrity -- Length of Swing Analysis -- Using Trend Lines to Define Rate of Trend -- Rate of Trend -- Character of Trend Legs -- SUMMARY -- CHAPTER 4 On Trading Ranges -- SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE -- Potential Support/Resistance -- Broken Support Becomes Resistance -- The Dark Secret of Support and Resistance -- Support and Resistance in Action.
TRADING RANGES AS FUNCTIONAL STRUCTURES -- Continuation Ranges -- Reversal Ranges -- Volatility Conditions in Trading Ranges -- SUMMARY -- CHAPTER 5 Interfaces between Trends and Ranges -- BREAKOUT TRADE: TRADING RANGE TO TREND -- Patterns Preceding Good Breakouts -- Characteristic Patterns at Good Breakouts -- Patterns Following Good Breakouts -- Patterns of Failed Breakouts -- TREND TO TRADING RANGE -- Trade Management Issues -- TREND TO OPPOSITE TREND (TREND REVERSAL) -- Parabolic Blow-Off into Climax -- Last Gasp -- Trend Change Without Warning -- Change of Character -- TREND TO SAME TREND (FAILURE OF TREND REVERSAL) -- SUMMARY -- PART III Trading Strategies -- CHAPTER 6 Practical Trading Templates -- FAILURE TEST -- PULLBACK, BUYING SUPPORT OR SHORTING RESISTANCE -- PULLBACK, ENTERING LOWER TIME FRAME BREAKOUT -- TRADING COMPLEX PULLBACKS -- THE ANTI -- BREAKOUTS, ENTERING IN THE PRECEDING BASE -- BREAKOUTS, ENTERING ON FIRST PULLBACK FOLLOWING -- FAILED BREAKOUTS -- SUMMARY -- CHAPTER 7 Tools for Confirmation -- THE MOVING AVERAGE-THE STILL CENTER -- Ideas for Using Moving Averages -- CHANNELS: EMOTIONAL EXTREMES -- Ideas for Using Channels -- INDICATORS: MACD -- Basic Interpretation of the MACD -- MULTIPLE TIME FRAME ANALYSIS -- Lower Time Frame Structures within Higher Time Frame Context -- Timing Entries from Lower Time Frames -- Summary of Multiple Time Frame Analysis -- Relative Strength -- CHAPTER 8 Trade Management -- PLACING THE INITIAL STOP -- Fixed-Percentage Stops -- Volatility-Based Stops -- Market Structure -- SETTING PRICE TARGETS -- Fixed Profits at Risk Multiples -- Market Structure Targets -- Trailing Stops -- ACTIVE MANAGEMENT -- Choices: Enter All at Once or Scale In? -- Taking Partial Profits -- Taking Partial Losses -- Adding to Existing Trades -- Time Stops -- Tightening Stops -- Widening Stops.
Managing Gaps Beyond Stops -- PORTFOLIO CONSIDERATIONS -- Correlated Positions -- Maximum Portfolio Risk -- PRACTICAL ISSUES -- Monitoring Tools -- Practical Tips on Execution -- CHAPTER 9 Risk Management -- RISK AND POSITION SIZING -- First, Know Your Risk -- %R and Position Sizing -- The Effect of Position Sizing -- THEORETICAL PERSPECTIVES ON RISK -- Thinking in Sample Sizes -- Uncertainty as Risk -- MISUNDERSTOOD RISK -- Generating Positive Expected Value -- The "Risk" of Risk/Reward -- PRACTICAL RISKS IN TRADING -- Trading Without an Edge -- Execution Risk -- Disaster Risk -- Markets Evolve. Do You? -- Event Risk/Tail Risk -- Correlation -- Liquidity Risk -- Regulatory Risk -- SUMMARY -- CHAPTER 10 Trade Examples -- TREND CONTINUATION -- Simple Pullback, Breakout Entry -- Simple Pullback, Breakout Entry -- Pullback, Lower Time Frame Climax Entry -- Pullback, High and Tight -- Pullback, Nested -- Complex Pullback -- Complex Pullback -- Pullback Failure at Previous Swing -- Pullback Failure at Previous Swing -- Pullback Failure: Strong Momentum Develops -- Pullback Failure: Goes Flat After Entry -- TREND TERMINATION -- Failure Test -- Failure Test, Second-Day Entry -- Failure Test, Other Variations -- FAILURE TEST FAILURES -- Failure Test Failure by Consolidation -- Failure Test Failure by Consolidation -- Failure Test Failure with Second Entry -- Failure Test, Other Failures -- TRADING PARABOLIC CLIMAXES -- Trading Parabolic Climaxes: Stand-Alone Entries -- Trading Parabolic Climaxes: Managing Existing Positions -- Climax Failures -- THE ANTI -- Anti 1 -- Anti 2 -- Anti 3 -- Anti Failures -- Conclusions -- TRADING AT SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE -- Breakouts: Early Entry in Base -- Breakouts: First Pullback Following -- Breakout Failures -- SUMMARY -- PART IV The Individual, Self-Directed Trader -- CHAPTER 11 The Trader's Mind.
PSYCHOLOGICAL CHALLENGES OF THE MARKETPLACE -- EVOLUTIONARY ADAPTATIONS -- Perceiving Patterns in Randomness -- Heuristics -- Shifting Blame -- Fight or Flight -- COGNITIVE BIASES -- Gambler's Fallacy -- Biases Concerning Losses -- Overconfidence Bias -- Confirmation Bias -- Anchoring Bias -- Recency Bias -- Hindsight Bias -- Illusion of Control -- THE RANDOM REINFORCEMENT PROBLEM -- EMOTIONS: THE ENEMY WITHIN -- Ego -- Hope and Fear -- INTUITION -- Developing Intuition -- Using Intuition -- Trusting Intuition -- Numbers to Leave Numbers -- FLOW -- How to Get There -- The Role of Attention and Focus -- PRACTICAL PSYCHOLOGY -- Develop an Approach That Fits Your Personality -- SUMMARY -- CHAPTER 12 Becoming a Trader -- THE PROCESS -- Requirements -- Commit to the Process -- RECORD KEEPING -- Journal -- Profit and Loss (P&L) Records -- STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF TRADING RESULTS -- Quantifying Your Edge -- Standardizing for Risk -- Control Charts -- SUMMARY -- APPENDIX A Trading Primer -- THE SPREAD -- TWO TYPES OF ORDERS -- Spread Trading -- CHARTS -- Tick Charts -- Bars and Candles -- Time Charts and Other Options -- APPENDIX B A Deeper Look at Moving Averages and the MACD -- MOVING AVERAGES -- Comparing EMA and SMA Behavior -- THE MACD -- Basic Construction of the MACD -- A Deeper Look -- APPENDIX C Sample Trade Data -- Glossary -- Bibliography -- About the Author -- Index.
Abstract:
A breakthrough trading book that provides powerful insights on profitable technical patterns and strategies The Art and Science of Technical Analysis is a groundbreaking work that bridges the gaps between the academic view of markets, technical analysis, and profitable trading. The book explores why randomness prevails in markets most, but not all, of the time and how technical analysis can be used to capture statistically validated patterns in certain types of market conditions. The belief of the book is that buying and selling pressure causes patterns in prices, but that these technical patterns are only effective in the presence of true buying/selling imbalance. The Art and Science of Technical Analysis is supported by extensive statistical analysis of the markets, which will debunk some tools and patterns such as Fibonacci analysis, and endorse other tools and trade setups. In addition, this reliable resource discusses trader psychology and trader learning curves based on the author's extensive experience as a trader and trainer of traders. Offers serious traders a way to think about market problems, understand their own performance, and help find a more productive path forward Includes extensive research to validate specific money-making patterns and strategies Written by an experienced market practitioner who has trained and worked with many top traders Filled with in-depth insights and practical advice, The Art and Science of Technical Analysis will give you a realistic sense of how markets behave, when and how technical analysis works, and what it really takes to trade successfully.
Local Note:
Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, 2017. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries.
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