Toward Climate-Resilient Development in Nigeria.
Title:
Toward Climate-Resilient Development in Nigeria.
Author:
Cervigni, Raffaello.
ISBN:
9780821399248
Personal Author:
Physical Description:
1 online resource (213 pages)
Series:
Directions in Development
Contents:
Front Cover -- Title Page -- Copyright Page -- Contents -- Foreword by Nigeria's Coordinating Minister for the Economy -- Foreword by the World Bank -- Acknowledgments -- About the Editors -- Abbreviations -- Overview -- Climate Risks to Vulnerable Sectors -- A Decline in Rain-Fed Yields -- Implications for GDP Growth and Trade -- Challenges to Food Security -- Sustainable Land Management Options -- The Role of Irrigation -- The Climate-Smart Way -- The Case for Acting Now -- Ten Ways to Enhance Climate Resilience by 2020 -- Chapter 1 Introduction -- References -- Chapter 2 Background -- Agriculture and Food Security -- Water Resource Management -- The Lagos Metropolitan Area -- Notes -- References -- Chapter 3 Methodology of Analysis -- Climate Projections and Uncertainty -- Crop Modeling -- Food Security -- Livestock -- Water Resources -- Macroeconomic Analysis -- Annex 3A Data Sources -- Note -- References -- Chapter 4 Climate Projections -- Nigeria's Climate: Features and Trends -- Projecting Change -- Note -- References -- Chapter 5 Climate Change Impact Analysis -- Crop Yields -- Food Security -- Livestock -- Water Resources -- Hydropower and Irrigation -- Macroeconomic Impacts -- Note -- References -- Chapter 6 Adaptation Options in the Agriculture and Water Sectors -- Adaptation in Agriculture -- Robust Decision Making for Water Resources Infrastructure -- Notes -- References -- Chapter 7 Conclusions and Recommendations -- Institutions and Policies -- Information and Knowledge -- Investment and Resource Mobilization -- Detailed Analysis of Climate Risk to Lagos -- References -- Appendix A Spatial Disaggregation -- Appendix B Climate Analysis: Current Variability and Future Change -- Appendix C Crop Modeling -- Appendix D Food Security Analysis -- Appendix E Livestock Analysis -- Appendix F Hydrological Analysis.
Appendix G Case Study Sites for the Hydrological Analysis -- Appendix H Power Generation Model -- Appendix I Macroeconomic Analysis -- Appendix J Robust Decision Making in Irrigation -- Boxes -- Figures -- Maps -- Tables -- Back Cover.
Abstract:
If not addressed in time, climate change is expected to exacerbate Nigeria's currentvulnerability to weather swings and limit its ability to achieve and sustain the objectivesof Vision 20:2020 [as defined in http://www.npc.gov.ng /home/doc.aspx?mCatID=68253].The likely impacts include: A long-term reduction in crop yields of 20-30 percent Declining productivity of livestock, with adverse consequences on livelihoods Increase in food imports (up to 40 percent for rice long term) Worsening prospects for food security, particularly in the north and the southwest A long-term decline in GDP of up to 4.5 percentThe impacts may be worse if the economy diversifies away from agriculture more slowlythan Vision 20:2020 anticipates, or if there is too little irrigation to counter the effects ofrising temperatures on rain-fed yields. Equally important, investment decisions made on the basis of historical climate may bewrong: projects ignoring climate change might be either under- or over-designed, withlosses (in terms of excess capital costs or foregone revenues) of 20-40 percent of initialcapital in the case of irrigation or hydropower.Fortunately, there is a range of technological and management options that make sense,both to better handle current climate variability and to build resilience against a harsherclimate: By 2020 sustainable land management practices applied to 1 million hectares can offsetmost of the expected shorter-term yield decline; gradual extension of these practices to50 percent of cropland, possibly combined with extra irrigation, can also counter-balancelonger-term climate change impacts. Climate-smart planning and design of irrigation and hydropower can more than halvethe risks and related costs of making the wrong investment decision.The Federal Government could consider 10 short-term priority responses to buildresilience to both
current climate variability and future change through actions toimprove climate governance across sectors, research and extension in agriculture,hydro-meteorological systems; integration of climate factors into the design of irrigationand hydropower projects, and mainstreaming climate concerns into priority programs,such as the Agriculture Transformation Agenda.
Local Note:
Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, 2017. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries.
Genre:
Electronic Access:
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