Cover image for Explaining Episodes of Growth Accelerations, Decelerations, and Collapses in Western Africa.
Explaining Episodes of Growth Accelerations, Decelerations, and Collapses in Western Africa.
Title:
Explaining Episodes of Growth Accelerations, Decelerations, and Collapses in Western Africa.
Author:
Salinas, Gonzalo.
ISBN:
9781451998375
Personal Author:
Physical Description:
1 online resource (46 pages)
Series:
IMF Working Papers
Contents:
CONTENTS -- Contents -- I. Introduction -- II. West African Economic Performance in Perspective -- III. Growth Turnarounds and Their Determinants -- A. Identifying Growth Turnarounds -- B. Stylized Facts of Turnarounds -- C. Growth Determinants -- Terms of Trade -- Remittances -- Foreign Aid -- Governance -- Rainfall -- Ethnic Fractionalization -- Distance/Landlockedness -- Climate and Malaria -- IV. Methodology -- V. Econometric Analysis -- VI. Conclusion And Policy Implications.
Abstract:
The growth literature has had problems explaining the "sub-Saharan African growth dummy" in cross-country regressions. Instead of taking the usual approach of focusing on long-run growth and assuming that sub-Saharan countries have homogenous parameters in growth regressions, we concentrate our analysis on episodes of growth turnarounds (identifying growth accelerations, decelerations, and collapses) and use only West African countries in our sample. The driving force of growth turnarounds are estimated by analyzing external shocks, political and institutional changes, economic reforms, and indicators particularly relevant to the region. Using probits for a group of 22 Western African economies for the period 1960-2006, we find that growth accelerations are most clearly associated with external shocks, economic liberalization, political stability, and closeness to the coast; decelerations occurred during short-lived regimes and when corruption indices weakened; and collapses are linked to external shocks, falling domestic credit, and proximity to the coast. We then identify policy implications.
Local Note:
Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, 2017. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries.
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