Contents -- Sponsors -- Preface -- Speakers -- Articles -- Need for a Caribbean Tsunami Warning System -- The Case for an Atlantic Tsunami Warning System -- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY -- INTRODUCTION -- BACKGROUND -- JUSTIFICATION -- SYSTEM COMPONENTS -- Hazard Assessment -- Warning -- Seismic Subsystem -- Sea-Level Subsystem -- Warning Centre(s) -- Communication and Data Exchange Subsystem -- Preparedness -- NON-EARTHQUAKE GENERATED TSUNAMIS -- SUMMARY OF BENEFITS AND BENEFICIARIES -- MANAGEMENT AND ADMINISTRATION -- IMPLEMENTATION -- BUDGET -- REFERENCES -- ANNEXES -- I. Preliminary List of Historical Caribbean Tsunamis -- II. List of Seismic Stations in the Countries of the IAS Region -- III. IOCARIBE Regional GLOSS: Sea Level / Weather Coastal Stations -- IV. Recommended IAS TWS Sea Level Stations -- Overview of Potential Tsunami Sources in the Caribbean Sea Region -- Estimating the Threat of Tsunamigenic Earthquakes and Earthquake Induced-Landslide Tsunami in the Caribbean -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Tectonic Framework of Caribbean region -- 2.1 Caribbean Plate -- 2.2 Eastern Subduction Zone -- 2.3 Oblique Subduction and transition to strike-slip regime -- 2.4 Strike-Slip Faults Transtensional and other Regimes -- 3 Tsunami Hazard Based on Potential Seismic Sources -- 4 Slow Earthquakes Subduction of Rough Seafloor and their Relation Tsunami Hazard -- 5 Steep Seafloor Submarine Slides and Tsunami Hazard -- 6 Conclusions -- 7 References -- Debris Avalanche Formation at Kick'em Jenny Submarine Volcano (Abstract) -- Submarine Slides North of Puerto Rico and their Tsunami Potential -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Background -- 3 The northern edge of the carbonate platform -- 3.1 Loiza amphitheater -- 3.2 Arecibo amphitheater -- 3.3 Mona rift -- 3.4 Northern side of the trench.

4 Characteristics of slope failures around the Puerto Rico trench -- 5 Hydrodynamic Simulation -- 6 Hydrodynamic Results -- 7 Recurrence time -- 8 Conclusions -- 9 Acknowledgements -- 10 References -- Risk Assessment of Tsunami Generation from Active Volcanic Sources in the Eastern Caribbean Region -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Tectonic Setting - Development Of Volcanic Centers In The Eastern Caribbean Region -- 2.1 Evolution of Volcanic Centers in the Eastern Caribbean Region -- 3 Recent Tsunamis Of Volcanic Origin In The Lesser Antilles Region -- 3.1 Montserrat Island Tsunamis -- 3.2 Martinique Island Tsunamis -- 3.3 St Vincent Island Tsunamis -- 3.4 Grenada Island Tsunamis -- 4 Mechanisms of Tsunami Generation From Volcanic Sources -- 4.1 Tsunami Generation Mechanisms of Shield Volcanoes -- 4.2 Tsunami Generation Mechanisms of Caribbean Volcanoes -- 5 Factors Contributing To Volcanic Explosivity Structural Flank Instabilities Mass Edifice Failures Debris Avalanches And Tsunami Generation In The Caribbean Region -- 5.1 Geochemical Factors -- 5.2 Growth and Collapses of Lava Domes -- 5.3 Volcanic Explosivity Factors -- 5.4 Blast Geometry Factors -- 5.5 Vertical Blast Mechanisms -- 5.6 Lateral and Channelized Blast Mechanisms -- 6 Mechanisms Of Volcanically- Induced Tsunami Generation In The Lesser Antilles Islands Of The Caribbean -- 6.1 Soufriere Hills Volcano on Montserrat Island - Eruptive Processes and Mechanisms of Tsunami Generation -- 6.1.1 Eruptive Processes -- 6.1.2 The Eruption and Tsunamis of 26 December 1997 and 1999 and 2003 -- 6.2 Mt. Pelee Volcano on Martinique Island - Eruptive Processes and Mechanisms of Tsunami Generation -- 6.2.1 Eruption Processes of Mt Pelee -- 6.2.2 The Eruption and Tsunamis of May 1902.

6.3 La Soufriere Volcano on St Vincent Island - Eruptive Processes and Mechanisms of Tsunami Generatio -- 6.3.1 Eruption Processes of Soufriere -- 6.3.2 The Eruption and Tsunamis of May 7 1902 -- 6.4 Kick-'em Jenny Submarine Volcano near the Island of Grenada - Eruptive Processes and Mechanisms of Tsunami Generation -- 6.4.1 The Eruption and Tsunamis of 1939 and 1974 -- 6.4.2 Eruption Processes of Kick'em-Jenny -- 6.4.3 Flank instability -- 6.4.4 Assessment of the Tsunamigenic Potential of Future Eruptions of Kick'em Jenny -- 6.4.5 Tsunami Generation from Submarine Explosive Eruptions -- 6.4.6 Tsunami Generation from Submarine Crater Collapses -- 6.4.7 Tsunami Generation from Submarine Volcanic Dome Collapses -- 6.4.8 Tsunami Generation From Future Subaerial Volcanic Collapses Flank Failures And Massive Volcanic Edifice Failures -- 6.4.9 Worst Possible Scenario -- 7 Assessment Of Future Risks Of Tsunamis From Volcanic Sources - Tsunami Forecasting And Preparedness For The Caribbean Region -- 7.1 Micro-earthquake Activity -- 7.2 Monitoring Lava Dome Formation and Rate of Growth -- 7.3 Evaluation of Potential Lava Dome Collapses -- 8 Summary and Conclusions -- 9 References -- Two-Dimensional Simulations of Explosive Eruptions of Kick-em Jenny and Other Submarine Volcanoes -- 1 Introduction -- 2 The SAGE hydrocode -- 3 Simulations of Kick-em Jenny -- 4 References -- The Tsunami Evidence in the Caribbean: Paleotsunami Studies -- Geomorphologic and Stratigraphic Investigations on Historic and Pre-Historic Tsunami in Northwestern Puerto Rico: Implications for Long Term Coastal Evolution -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Background -- 3 Tsunami records -- 4 Methodology -- 5 General Tectonic Setting of Puerto Rico -- 5.1 Seismicity -- 5.2 Geology and geomorphology of northwestern Puerto Rico.

6 Interpretation of the 1918 earthquake: Observed Run up and effects -- 6.1 Bathymetry -- 6.2 Predicted run up -- 7 Field Investigations -- 7.1 Cores in the swamps -- 7.2 Aguada Plain at Carrizales -- 7.3 Trenching at Carrizales -- 7.4 Aguada Swamp at Espinar -- 7.5 Aguadilla Swamp at Parque de Aguadilla -- 8 Evidence in the cliffs -- 8.1 Punta Agujereada -- 8.2 Punta Borinquen -- 8.3 La Bajura -- 9 Radiocarbon Dating and Age of Events -- 10 Discussion -- 11 Conclusions -- 12 Acknowledgements -- 13 References -- New Evidence and Datings of Holocene Paleotsunami Events in the Caribbean (Barbados St. Martin and Anguilla) -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Hurricane History -- 3 Remarks on littoral boulder transport -- 4 How to date a tsunami event? -- 5 Observations on Barbados -- 6 Field evidence of tsunami impacts on St Martin -- 7 Observations on Anguilla island -- 8 Conclusions -- Acknowledgements -- References -- Recent Caribbean Programs and Studies -- The Puerto Rico Tsunami Warning and Mitigation Program -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Program Tasks -- 2.1 Task 1: Tsunami Flood Maps -- 2.2 Task 2: Education/Outreach -- 2.3 Task 3: Local and Regional Seismic Waveform Analysis -- 2.4 Task 4: Warning Messages and Protocol -- 2.5 Task 5: Development of a Caribbean Historical Tsunami Database (CHTDB) -- 2.6 Task 6: Participation in the USA National Tsunami Warning and Mitigation Program -- 3 Conclusion -- 4 Acknowledgment -- 5 References -- Local and Regional Waveform Analysis for Rapid Monitoring of Shallow Caribbean Earthquakes -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Results For Caribbean Events -- 3 Implications For The Rapid Derivation Of Source Parameters -- 4 Conclusions and Discussion -- 5 Acknowledgements -- 6 References -- Emergent Tsunami Warning System for Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands -- 1 Introduction.

2 Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands Tsunami Warning System -- 2.1 Tsunami Scenarios -- 2.2 Detection and Location of Tsunamigenic Earthquakes -- 2.3 Tsunami Protocol -- 2.4 Communication and Dissemination -- 2.5 Education -- 3 Conclusions and Recommendations -- 4 Acknowledgments -- 5 References -- Tsunamis in the Lesser Antilles -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Historical Data -- 3 Analysis -- 4 Conclusion -- 5 Acknowledgements -- 6 References -- An 1867-Class Tsunami: Potential Devastation in the US Virgin Islands -- 1 Background -- 2 Comparing Disasters -- 3 Profile of the Today's Virgin Islands -- 4 Potential Tsunami Threats -- 5 Focus on the Cruise Industry -- 6 The Danger on Shore -- 7 Planning for an 1867-class Tsunami -- 8 Conclusions -- 9 References -- The UNESCO/IOC International Tsunami Information Center and Its Role in the Caribbean (Abstract) -- The Richard H. Hagemeyer Pacific Tsunami Warning Center and Its Role in the Caribbean (Abstract) -- NEES Program's Support for Tsunami Experimental Research (Abstract) -- Integrated Tsunami Scenario Simulation (Abstract) -- Tsunami Physics and Modeling Efforts -- Tsunami Forces in the Runup Zone -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Methodology -- 3 Tsunami Force Distribution -- 4 Discussion -- 5 Acknowledgments -- 6 References -- Wave Generation Runup and Rundown from Three-Dimensional Sliding Masses (Abstract) -- Three-Dimensional Runup Due to Submerged and Subaerial Landslides -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Model Equations -- 3 Numerical Model -- 4 Landslide Description -- 4.1 Slide Motion -- 4.2 Landslide Geometry -- 5 2HD Runup Created by Submerged and Subaerial Landslides -- 6 Comparison with Experimental Data -- 7 Conclusions -- 8 References -- Physical Modeling of Landslide Generated Tsunami -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Experimental Set-up -- 3 Tsunami generation by landslide impact.

3.1 Main flow regimes.