Intro -- Contents -- Tables -- Table 1. Projected future incidence rates and cases in Africa in 2030 and 2050 under different intervention scenarios -- Table 2. Currently known zoonotic malaria parasites of non-human primates -- Table 3. Summary of challenges and lessons learned from the case studieson complex emergencies -- Figures -- Fig. 1. Key elements and goals of the Global technical strategy for malaria 2016-2030 -- Fig. 2. Distribution of gains from malaria elimination by 2017 World Bank income group -- Fig. 3. Distribution of gains from malaria elimination by 2017 malaria incidence percentile -- Fig. 4. Estimated resource needs to sustain intervention coverage at 2015 levels and incremental resource needs to scale up coverage to 90% by 2030 -- Fig. 5. Population by sustainable development goal region: estimates,1950-2020, and medium-variant projection with 95% prediction intervals, 2020-2100 -- Fig. 6. Timescales of variability for global average precipitation (A, mm/day) and temperature (B, °C) anomalies -- Fig. 7. The African distribution of dhps resistance lineages -- Fig. 8. Census-derived subnational migration data -- Fig. 9. Projected future impact on malaria endemicity of the changing environment -- Fig. 10. Projected future impact on malaria endemicity of the changingenvironment and increased coverage of existing malaria control -- Fig. 11. Projected absolute change in PfPR by 2050 at pixel level -- Fig. 12. Projected absolute change in PfPR by 2050 at the national level -- Fig. 13. Boxplots comparing statistical distributions of candidate driving factors in areas projected to eliminate versus those not projected to eliminate by 2050 in a scenario with optimistic intervention coverage -- Fig. 14. Proportion of countries reducing malaria incidence by 75% ormore by baseline incidence and income group, 2000-2016.

Fig. 15. Proportion of countries eliminating malaria by 2016 by(A) baseline incidence and (B) income group -- Fig. 16. Health systems score and percent reduction in malaria incidence, 2000-2016 -- Fig. 17. Health systems scores for highest and lowest performers with respect to relative change in malaria incidence among high-incidence countries, 2000-2016 -- Fig. 18. Health systems scores for highest and lowest performers with respect to relative change in malaria incidence among middle incidence countries, 2000-2016 -- Fig. 19. Relationship map between communities and levels of the Ministry of Health in four districts of Rwanda, 2018 -- Fig. 20. Inter-related questions that help to identify specific interpretations of the malaria problem -- Fig. 21. The three main phases of the policy process -- Fig. 22. Comparison of progress in malaria case incidence considering three scenarios -- Fig. 23. Estimated country share of total malaria cases, 2018 -- Fig. 24. Progress towards the Abuja Declaration target of 15% of GDP expenditure on health among the HBHI target countries -- Foreword -- Members of the Strategic Advisory Group on Malaria Eradication -- Abbreviations -- Executive summary -- Report of the WHO Strategic Advisory Group on Malaria Eradication -- Introduction -- The case for malaria eradication -- History and burden of malaria -- Economic impact of malaria -- Learning from eradication campaigns -- Malaria -- Smallpox -- Dracunculiasis (Guinea worm disease) -- Polio -- Global trends and impact on future scenarios for malaria eradication -- Demographic trends -- Urbanization -- Climate change -- Land use and land cover changes -- Migration -- A quantitative exploration of malaria trajectories in Africa to 2050 -- Eliminating malaria in the hardest places -- Mitigating potential threats to eradication -- Biological threats.

Threats posed by malaria in non-human primates -- Threats posed by complex emergencies -- Health systems readiness for malaria elimination -- Community engagement for malaria elimination and eradication -- Approaches to global policies to end malaria -- Interpreting and negotiating the malaria problem -- Exit and voice, demonstration projects, and organizational proliferation -- The dramatic structure of the policy process and the challenge of implementation -- Present dynamics -- A pragmatic, strategic and humanitarian way forward -- Getting back on track to meet GTS targets -- A successful approach to malaria eradication -- Conclusions -- Annexes -- Annex 1 Affiliations of the SAGme members -- Biographical sketches -- Former members -- Annex 2 Working groups -- Working papers -- References.