Cover -- Preface -- Acknowledgements -- Table of Contents -- List of Figures and Tables -- 1 Introduction and Problem Statement -- 1.1 Objectives -- 1.2 Conceptual Approach -- 2 The Agriculture Sector of Pakistan -- 2.1 Geography and Soils -- 2.2 Climate and Water Resources of Pakistan -- 2.2.1 Climate -- 2.2.2 Water resources -- 2.3 Agro-Ecological Zones of Pakistan -- 2.4 Development of the Agricultural Sector in Pakistan -- 2.4.1 Land use pattern in Pakistan -- 2.4.2 Agricultural Production - Major Crops of Pakistan -- 2.4.3 History of Land reforms, Farm structures and tenurial systems -- 2.5 Domestic Agricultural Policy -- 2.6 Agriculture in the National Economy -- 2.6.1 Agriculture and the GDP -- 2.6.2 Employment -- 2.6.3 Trade -- 2.7 Investment and Agricultural Credit -- 2.8 Total Factor Productivity -- 3 The role of climate in agricultural production and local vulnerabilities -- 3.1 Agricultural Production under Climate Change and the response of crop growth -- 3.2 Vulnerability to Climate Change in Pakistan -- 3.2.1 Temperature -- 3.2.2 Precipitation -- 3.2.3 Extreme Events -- 4 Modeling the Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture -- 4.1 Crop Simulation Approach or Agronomic models -- 4.2 Economy-wide models: Computable General Equilibrium Models (CGE) -- 4.3 Econometric Approach: The Standard Ricardian Model -- 5 Ricardian Studies- Literature Review -- 5.1 Conceptual understanding of the Ricardian Approach -- 5.2 Climate Change Adaptation in Agriculture -- 5.3 Adaptation and the importance of Local Traditional Knowledge (LTK) -- 5.4 Black Box of Adaptation- The Structural Ricardian Method -- 6 Standard Ricardian Model - Modifications and Application to Pakistan -- 6.1 Study Area and Data -- 6.2 Econometric estimation -- 6.2.1 Structural multicollinearity, outliers, leverage and influence.

6.2.2 Climate Sensitivity and Spatial Autocorrelation -- 6.3 Interpretation of the parameter estimates -- 6.3.1 Ricardian Climate Sensitivities -- 6.3.2 Control Variables -- 7 Structural Ricardian Model for theeconomic impact assessment of Climate Change -- 7.1 Dataset and Study Area -- 7.2 Empirical strategy -- 7.3 First stage crop choice model- Interpretation of results -- 7.4 Second stage income regressions- Interpretation of results -- 8 Climate Change Scenarios and Simulations using the Ricardian Approach -- 8.1 Specification of future Climate Change for Pakistan -- 8.2 Climate Change Simulations -- 8.2.1 Simulations using the Standard Ricardian Model -- 8.2.2 Simulations using the Structural Ricardian Model -- 9 Conclusions and Policy Implications -- 10 German Summary -- List of References -- Annex.