Cover image for Fiscal Sustainability in Remittance-Dependent Economies.
Fiscal Sustainability in Remittance-Dependent Economies.
Title:
Fiscal Sustainability in Remittance-Dependent Economies.
Author:
Chami, Ralph.
ISBN:
9781452705668
Personal Author:
Physical Description:
1 online resource (27 pages)
Series:
IMF Working Papers
Contents:
Contents -- I. Introduction -- II. Implication of Remittances for Public Debt Sustainability -- III. An Application: Lebanon -- A. Stabilizing the Debt at Current Levels -- B. Targeting a Lower Debt Level -- IV. Conclusion -- I. Traditional Model of Debt Sustainability -- A. The law of motion of the government debt-to-GDP ratio -- B. The primary surplus-to-GDP ratio that stabilizes the debt-to-GDP ratio -- C. The primary surplus-to-GDP ratio that reduces debt-to-GDP to a given target -- II. Debt Sustainability in the Presence of Remittances -- A. The law of motion of the government debt-to-GDP plus remittances ratio -- B. The primary surplus-to-GDP ratio that stabilizes debt-to-GDP plus remittances -- C. The primary surplus-to-GDP ratio that reduces debt-to-GDP plus remittances to a given target -- Tables -- 1. Debt Dynamics and Primary Surpluses that Stabilize the Debt Ratio for Lebanon -- 2. Primary Surplus Required to Reduce the Debt Ratio to a Given Target -- Figures -- 1. Lebanon: Debt Dynamics -- 2. Lebanon: Primary Surpluses that Stabilize the Debt Ratio -- References.
Abstract:
We investigate the impact of remittances on public debt sustainability and detail how the traditional debt-to-GDP ratio can be modified to create a more accurate representation of debt sustainability for a country that receives significant remittance inflows. The main result is that inclusion of remittances into the traditional debt sustainability analysis alters the amount of fiscal adjustment required to place debt on a sustainable path. While preliminary, these results are indicative of how a one-size-fits-all stability analysis may be inappropriate when evaluating the stance of fiscal policy for countries with different balance of payments characteristics.
Local Note:
Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, 2017. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries.
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