Title -- Copyright -- Contents -- List of figures -- List of tables -- List of contributors -- Preface -- List of abbreviations -- Introduction -- Theoretical interpretations of democratization -- An evolutionary theory of democratization -- Research design -- Resource distribution -- Period and units of comparison -- Methods of analysis -- Empirical analysis of democratization: 1850 1993 -- Cross-sectional correlations -- GNP per capita and human development index (HDI) -- Regression analysis -- Predictions for single countries by regions -- Regional comparisons -- Europe and North America -- Latin America and the Caribbean -- North Africa, the Middle East and Central Asia -- Sub-Saharan Africa -- South Asia -- East Asia and Southeast Asia -- Oceania -- Conclusions: Regularities since the 1850s -- Unexplained variation -- The persistence of deviating cases -- Prospects of democracy by regional groups -- Strategies of democratization -- Incalculable factors -- Appendices -- Appendix 2 -- Appendix 3 -- Appendix 4 -- Appendix 5 -- Tatu Vanhanen thesis and the prospects of democracy in Latin America -- Conclusions -- The democratic anomalies: why some countries that have passed Vanhanen's democratic threshold are not democracies -- Some methodological considerations -- The anomalous bunch -- The lack of political community as an impediment to democracy -- The role of external factors in democratic evolution -- The political economy of democratic evolution -- Conclusions -- On statistical correlates of democratization and prospects of democratization in Africa: some issues of construction, inference and prediction -- References -- Some observations on prospects of democracy in the contemporary world: Africa's transition to a democratic governance system -- Criteria for evaluating Africa's democratic transition process.

Reinstating the missing dimension -- Representation -- Accountability -- Participation -- Conclusions -- References -- Prospects of democracy in Oceania -- The region of Oceania -- What is different in Oceania? -- References -- Bibliography -- Index -- List of figures -- List of tables -- List of contributors -- Preface -- List of abbreviations -- Introduction -- Theoretical interpretations of democratization -- Research design -- Empirical analysis of democratization: 1850 1993 -- Predictions for single countries by regions -- Conclusions: Regularities since the 1850s -- Appendices -- Tatu Vanhanen thesis and the prospects of democracy in Latin America -- The democratic anomalies: why some countries that have passed Vanhanen's democratic threshold are not democracies -- On statistical correlates of democratization and prospects of democratization in Africa: some issues of construction, inference and prediction -- Some observations on prospects of democracy in the contemporary world: Africa's transition to a democratic governance system -- Prospects of democracy in Oceania -- Bibliography -- Index.