Cover -- Preface -- Contents -- Figures -- Tables -- Summary -- Recommendations -- Acknowledgments -- Abbreviations -- CHAPTER ONE Introduction -- Organization of This Monograph -- CHAPTER TWO Background -- Flag Officers Serve in a Wide Range of Billets -- What Kinds of Officers Lead the Navy? -- CHAPTER THREE A Framework for Understanding Flag Officer Billet Requirements -- Domain Expertise -- Leadership, Management, and Enterprise Expertise -- Identifying the Requirements for Expertise -- The Job Book Documents Area-of-Expertise and Other Billet Requirements -- CHAPTER FOUR A Closer Look at Expertise Requirements -- Flexibility in Primary Area of Expertise -- Secondary Areas of Expertise -- Importance of Leadership, Management, and Enterprise Expertise -- Relating Expertise Requirements to Pre-Flag Officer Development -- Flag Officer Requirements Have Critical Bottlenecks -- Reconciling the Constraining Requirements -- CHAPTER FIVE Matching Domain Expertise to Billets in the Navy Flag Officer Force -- Modeling the Average Flows of Inventory in the Flag Officer Ranks -- Application of the Data in the Model -- Deriving Sets of Areas of Expertise from the Billet Database -- Average Times in Grade -- Upper Bounds on Promotion Probabilities and Thresholds on Promotion Rates -- Some Results from a Sample Run of the Model -- Exploring Annual Promotion Rates -- Concluding Remarks -- CHAPTER SIX RDML Selectees: Comparison with Model-Determined Requirements -- Characterizing the Supply -- Can All the Identified Expertise Pairs Be Used? -- Are All Necessary Expertise Pairs Available Among the Six Cohorts? -- A Final Word on the Gap Analysis -- CHAPTER SEVEN An Exploration of Future Requirements -- How We Derived Future Expertise Requirements -- Summary of Future Significant Impacts on Required Areas of Expertise.

Organizational and Structural Changes -- Ship-Related Force Structure -- Information Warfare -- Space Warfare -- Intel and Foreign Area Officers -- Terrorism and Counterterrorism -- Ballistic Missile Defense -- Anti-Submarine Warfare -- Special Warfare, Expeditionary Warfare, and Littoral Warfare -- Stability Operations -- Readiness, Logistics, Sea Basing, and Training -- Development Changes -- Shifts in Advanced Education -- Shifts in Training: High-Tech Ships with Smaller Crews -- Operational Strategy Changes -- Technology Acquisitions -- Information Technology Acquisitions -- Submarine Warfare Acquisitions -- Surface Warfare Acquisitions -- Logistics and Readiness -- Expeditionary Warfare Acquisitions -- Counter-Mine Warfare Acquisitions -- Special Warfare Acquisitions -- Stability Operations: No Acquisitions Directly Relate -- The Relevance of Current Expertise for the Future -- Potentially Uncaptured Areas of Expertise -- CHAPTER EIGHT Conclusions and Recommendations -- Conclusions -- Recommendations -- APPENDIX A Flag Billet Titles -- APPENDIX B Definitions of Domain Expertise -- APPENDIX C Cross-Functional Expertise -- APPENDIX D Survey Screenshots and Additional DefinitionsUsed in the Survey -- APPENDIX E Formulation of the Mathematical Program to Determine Average Flows of Inventory Through the Flag Officer Ranks -- References.