Contents -- Tables, Figures, and Maps -- Foreword -- Acknowledgments -- Abbreviations -- Currency, Weights, and Measures -- Key Terms -- Introduction -- Purpose and Scope of the Study -- The Approach -- Climate Change in the Mekong Delta -- Climate Change Modeling and Emissions Scenarios -- Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenarios -- Previous Modeling -- Climate Change Modeling (Regional Downscaling) -- Climate Change Variables -- Temperature -- Rainfall -- Sea Level Rise -- Wind Speed -- Other Climatic Variables -- Impact Modeling -- Comparison of A2 and B2 Scenarios -- Climate Change Hazards -- Flooding and Inundation (from the IMHEN hydrological model) -- Saline Intrusion (from the IMHEN hydrological model) -- Storm Surge (from the Institute of Coastal and Offshore Engineering HydroGIS model) -- Typhoons (from the Institute of Coastal and Offshore Engineering HydroGIS model) -- Vulnerability Assessment -- Analyzing Adaptive Capacity -- The Vulnerability Ranking Process -- Assessment of Existing Control Measures -- Incorporating Control Measures in the Vulnerability Assessment -- Identifying and Analyzing Future Risk -- Risk Values -- Hot Spots -- Ca Mau Province -- Population and Demographics -- Agriculture and Livelihoods -- Energy and Industry -- Transport Network -- Population Vulnerability -- Risks -- Hot Spots -- Poverty Vulnerability -- Risks -- Hot Spots -- Agriculture and Livelihoods Vulnerability -- Risks -- Hot Spots -- Energy and Industry Vulnerability -- Risks -- Hot Spots -- Urban Settlements and Transportation Vulnerability -- Risks -- Hot Spots -- Regional Vulnerability Synthesis -- Summary of Sector Control Measures -- Highly Vulnerable Districts -- Kien Giang Province -- Population and Demographics -- Agriculture and Livelihoods -- Energy and Industry -- Transport Network -- Population Vulnerability -- Risks -- Hot Spots.

Poverty Vulnerability -- Risks -- Hot Spots -- Agriculture and Livelihoods Vulnerability -- Risks -- Hot Spots -- Energy and Industry Vulnerability -- Risks -- Hot Spots -- Urban Settlements and Transportation Vulnerability -- Risks -- Hot Spots -- Regional Vulnerability Synthesis -- Summary of Sector Control Measures -- Highly Vulnerable Districts -- Bibliography -- Appendixes -- 1 Ca Mau Province District Summaries -- 2 Kien Giang Province District Summaries -- Tables -- 1 Regional Climate Modeling Method Used -- 2 Average Temperature Increase from 2010 Baseline (°C) -- 3 Average Maximum and Minimum Temperature Increase, B2 Scenario -- 4 Change in Rainfall (%) -- 5 Sea Level Rise (m) -- 6 Change in Seasonal Mean Wind Speed (m/s), B2 Scenario -- 7 Difference between Predicted Percentage Change for A2 and B2 Scenarios (%) -- 8 Cross-Sectoral Impacts of Hazards-Derived from Expert Opinion -- 9 Vulnerability Indicators -- 10 Components of Hard Control Measures Assessed by Expert Opinion -- 11 Qualitative Measures of Likelihood -- 12 Quantitative Measures of Consequence -- 13 Risk Rating Matrix -- 14 Values of Likelihood and Consequence Used for Levels of Exposure to Each Climate Change Impact -- 15 Hot Spots Identified in the Vulnerability and Risk Analysis -- 16 Risk of Climate Change on Population Dimensions -- 17 Risk of Climate Change on Poverty Dimensions -- 18 Risk of Climate Change to the Agriculture and Livelihoods Sectors -- 19 Risk of Climate Change to the Energy and Industry Sectors -- 20 Risk of Climate Change to the Urban Settlements and Transportation Sectors -- 21 Summary of Adequacy of Control Measures Across All Sectors -- 22 Risk of Climate Change on Population Dimensions -- 23 Risk of Climate Change on Poverty Dimensions -- 24 Risk of Climate Change to the Agriculture and Livelihoods Sectors.

25 Risk of Climate Change to the Energy and Industry Sectors -- 26 Risk of Climate Change to the Urban Settlements and Transportation Sectors -- 27 Summary of Adequacy of Control Measures Across All Sectors -- Figures -- 1 Scenarios for Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Projected Change in Surface Temperature -- 2 Hypothetical District Vulnerability Profile -- 3 Population Vulnerability -- 4 Poverty Vulnerability -- 5 Agriculture and Livelihoods Vulnerability -- 6 Energy and Industry Vulnerability -- 7 Urban Settlements and Transportation Vulnerability -- 8 Ca Mau Vulnerability Synthesis -- 9 Population Vulnerability -- 10 Poverty Vulnerability -- 11 Agriculture and Livelihoods Vulnerability -- 12 Energy and Industry Vulnerability -- 13 Urban Settlements and Transportation Vulnerability -- 14 Kien Giang Vulnerability Synthesis -- Maps -- Map of Study Area-Ca Mau and Kien Giang Provinces -- Maps of Projected Flooding and Inundation for an Extreme Event in 2000, 2030, and 2050 (from the IMHEN hydrological model) -- Maps of Projected Maximum Saline Intrusion in 2000, 2030, and 2050 (from the IMHEN hydrological model) -- South West Monsoon Conditions - Kien Giang -- North East Monsoon Conditions - Ca Mau -- North East Monsoon Conditions - Ngoc Hien (Ca Mau) -- Significant Wave Heights during Typhoon Linda (1997) -- Project Water Surface Elevation and Current for Typhoons-B2 Scenario, 2050 -- Wind Fields during Typhoon Linda (1997) -- Map of Study Area-Ca Mau Province -- Ca Mau Distribution of Population Density -- Ca Mau Topography -- Ca Mau Irrigation System -- Ca Mau Land Use -- Ca Mau Electricity System -- Ca Mau Transport Network -- Population Vulnerability-A2 Scenario (Baseline, 2030, 2050) (Ca Mau) -- Poverty Vulnerability-A2 Scenario (Baseline, 2030, 2050) (Ca Mau) -- Agriculture and Livelihoods Vulnerability-A2 Scenario (Baseline, 2030, 2050) (Ca Mau).

Energy and Industry Vulnerability-A2 Scenario (Baseline, 2030, 2050) (Ca Mau) -- Urban Settlements and Transportation Vulnerability-A2 Scenario (Baseline, 2030, 2050) (Ca Mau) -- Vulnerability Synthesis-A2 Scenario (Baseline, 2030, 2050) (Ca Mau) -- Map of Study Area-Kien Giang Province -- Kien Giang Distribution of Population Density -- Kien Giang Topography -- Kien Giang Irrigation System -- Kien Giang Land Use -- Kien Giang Electricity Network -- Kien Giang Traffic System -- Population Vulnerability-A2 Scenario (Baseline, 2030, 2050) (Kien Giang) -- Poverty Vulnerability-A2 Scenario (Baseline, 2030, 2050) (Kien Giang) -- Agriculture and Livelihoods Vulnerability-A2 Scenario (Baseline, 2030, 2050) (Kien Giang) -- Energy and Industry Vulnerability-A2 Scenario (Baseline, 2030, 2050) (Kien Giang) -- Urban Settlements and Transportation Vulnerability-A2 Scenario (Baseline, 2030, 2050) (Kien Giang) -- Vulnerability Synthesis-A2 Scenario (Baseline, 2030, 2050) (Kien Giang).