Contents -- Acknowledgments -- List of Figures -- List of Tables -- PART A. THEORY AND AGGREGATE ANALYSIS -- Introduction to Part A -- 1. Conflict and Crisis: Concepts and Overview Findings on Earthquakes I -- 2. Protracted Conflict-Crisis Model and Findings on Earthquakes II -- 3. Crisis Escalation to War: Concepts, Model, and Findings on Earthquakes III -- 4. Crisis Severity and Impact: Concepts and Model -- 5. Crisis Intensity and Fallout: Findings on Earthquakes IV -- 6. Structure and Stability: Concepts and Model -- 7. Findings on the Polarity-Stability Nexus -- Notes to Part A -- PART B. QUALITATIVE ANALYSIS: CASE STUDIESOF POLITICAL EARTHQUAKES -- Introduction to Part B -- 8. Ethiopian (Abyssinian) War 1934-36, Multipolarity, Africa -- 9. Berlin Blockade 1948-49, Bipolarity, Europe -- 10. Bangladesh 1971, Bipolycentrism, Asia -- 11. Gulf War I 1990-91, Unipolycentrism, Middle East 196 -- 12. Coping/Crisis Management: Findings on Earthquakes V -- 13. What Have We Learned? -- Notes to Part B -- BIBLIOGRAPHY -- References for Part A -- References for Part B -- Name Index -- Subject Index.