Cover -- Title Page -- Copyright -- Preface -- Contents -- Figures -- Tables -- Summary -- Acknowledgments -- Abbreviations -- CHAPTER ONE: Roles of Strategic Nuclear Forces -- Deterring a Nuclear Attack on the United States -- Preventing an Arms Race -- Compatibility with Future Arms Control Agreements -- Maintaining Warfighting Capabilities -- Deterring Regional Nuclear Powers -- An ICBM for a New Generation of Challenges -- Purpose and Organization of This Report -- CHAPTER TWO: A Framework for ICBM Design Decisions -- CHAPTER THREE: ICBM Basing -- Survivability of the Current Silo-Based Force -- Increased Accuracy -- Multiple Independently Targetable Reentry Vehicles -- Launch Under Attack -- The Impact of Arms Control -- Options for Basing Alternatives -- Conclusion -- CHAPTER FOUR: Effectiveness and Lethality -- ICBM Propulsion -- ICBM Boost Characteristics -- Avoiding Overflight of Russia and China -- Plane Changes -- Southern Launches -- Alternative Launch Locations -- Geographical Coverage of the Current Minuteman III ICBM Force -- Geographical Coverage with Expanded Basing -- Improving Missile Accuracy -- Maneuvering Flight and Reentry Vehicles -- ICBM Payload -- Conclusion -- CHAPTER FIVE: The Cost of ICBM Alternatives -- Current Plans for ICBM Modernization -- ICBM Future Force Options -- No Replacement System Categories -- Basic Sustainment -- Indefinite Incremental Modernization -- Replacement System Categories -- New-Build Modernized Minuteman -- All-New Silo-Based Missile -- All-New Mobile-Based Missile on Existing Federal Lands -- All-New Mobile-Based Missile on New Lands -- Initial Cost Ranges -- Minuteman III Total Annual Costs -- Out-Year Minuteman III Modernization Programs Are Underfunded or Unfunded -- Cost Considerations When a Follow-On System Is Anticipated -- ICBM Cost Estimates Relevant to Potential Follow-On Systems.

Cost Estimates for Selected Possible Future Force Options -- Rough Cost Estimates by Category -- Cost Conclusions -- CHAPTER SIX: Conclusions -- ICBM Cost Implications for the Upcoming Analysis of Alternatives -- Options for Survivable Basing -- Propulsion, Boost, Reentry, and Payload Options for ICBM Effectiveness -- ICBM Force-Size Reduction Implications -- APPENDIX: Manpower Thresholds -- Bibliography.