Contents -- Part I: Methods and Results -- 1. Can Technology Assure Environmentally Sound Economic Development? -- The Nature of the Problem -- The Significance of the Brundtland Report, OUR COMMON FUTURE (OCF) -- Framework for This Study -- Evaluation of the OCF Scenario -- Two Directions for the Future -- Plan of the Book -- 2. The OCF Scenario -- Basic Description of the OCF Scenario -- Detailed Technological Assumptions -- Economic Assumptions -- Representation of Investment -- Alternative Scenarios -- 3. Results and Conclusions -- Global and Regional Economic Implications -- Energy Use and Emissions of Carbon, Sulfur, and Nitrogen -- Growth of Individual Economic Sectors -- International Trade -- Results of Alternative Scenarios -- Appendix 1. Comparison of Results with Other Studies -- Appendix 2. A Note about Results at Different Levels of Aggregation -- Part II: Case Studies -- 4. Emissions -- Carbon Dioxide -- Sulfur Oxides -- Nitrogen Oxides -- Postcombustion Abatement of Nitrogen Emissions -- 5. Electric Power Generation -- Regional Distribution of Production of Electricity -- Representation of Electricity in the World Model -- Production Technology -- Projections Under the OCF Scenario -- Technology and Thermal Conversion Efficiencies -- 6. Industrial Energy Conservation -- Obstacles to Conservation -- Energy Conservation Measures and Reductions in Energy Use -- Projections Under the OCF Scenario -- 7. Processing and Fabrication of Metals -- Representation of Metals in the World Model -- Regional Distribution of Production and Use of Metals -- Use of Metals by the Metal-Fabricating Sectors in 1980 and 1987 -- Changes in Metal Use in the United States and Other Developed Economies in the 1980s -- Differences in Metal Use Among Regions -- Virgin Metal Use in World Model Regions -- Projections Under the OCF Scenario.

International Trade in Metals -- 8. Construction -- The Role of the Construction Industry -- Subsectors of Construction -- Maintenance and Repair Construction -- Input Coefficients -- Projections Under the OCF Scenario -- 9. Cement -- The Role of the Cement Industry -- Regional Distribution of Production and Use of Cement -- Production Technology -- Energy Consumption -- Cost Structure -- Projections Under the OCF Scenario -- 10. Pulp and Paper -- Description of the Sector -- Recycling Technology -- Projections Under the OCF Scenario -- 11. Chemicals -- Description of the Sectors -- Regional Distribution of Production and Use of Chemicals -- Production Technology -- Use of Chemicals -- Prospects for the Future -- Updating Parameters -- 12. Household Energy Conservation -- Energy Use in Developed Regions -- Energy Use in Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union -- Energy Use in Developing Regions -- 13. Motor Vehicles -- Representation of Road Transportation in the World Model -- Regional Distribution of Production, Fleets, and Sales of Motor Vehicles -- Factors Governing Fuel Use by the Motor Vehicle Fleet -- Regional Distribution of the Mix of Cars and Trucks -- Factors Governing Fuel Efficiency -- Fuel Efficiency of the Average Car and Truck -- Average Miles Driven per Vehicle and Fuel Use per Vehicle -- Incorporating Parameters About Transportation in the Data Base -- Appendixes -- A. Structure of the World Model -- B. Building the World Data Base: Case Study Methodology -- C. World Model Geographic Classification -- D. World Model Sectoral Classification -- References -- Index -- A -- B -- C -- D -- E -- F -- G -- H -- I -- J -- K -- L -- M -- N -- O -- P -- R -- S -- T -- U -- V -- W -- Z.