Global Market Conditions and Systemic Risk.
Title:
Global Market Conditions and Systemic Risk.
Author:
González-Hermosillo, Brenda.
ISBN:
9781452786384
Personal Author:
Physical Description:
1 online resource (24 pages)
Series:
IMF Working Papers
Contents:
Contents -- I. Introduction -- II. Overview of Systemic Risk -- III. Global Market Conditions and Systemic Risk: A Qualitative View -- IV. Markov-Regime Switching Analysis -- A. Results During the Peak of the Crisis -- B. Results After Massive Government Programs in 2009 to Address the Global Crisis -- V. Conclusion -- Figures -- 1. Euro-Dollar Forex Swap -- 2. Markov-Switching ARCH Model of VIX -- 3. Markov-Switching ARCH Model of TED Spread -- 4. Euro-Dollar Forex Swap -- 5a. Markov-Switching ARCH Model of VIX -- 5b. Markov-Switching ARCH Model of VIX -- 6a. Markov-Switching ARCH Model of TED Spread -- 6b. Markov-Switching ARCH Model of TED Spread.
Abstract:
This paper examines several key global market conditions, such as a proxy for market uncertainty and measures of interbank funding stress, to assess financial volatility and the likelihood of crisis. Using Markov regime-switching techniques, it shows that the Lehman Brothers failure was a watershed event in the crisis, although signs of heightened systemic risk could be detected as early as February 2007. In addition, we analyze the role of global market conditions to help determine when governments should begin to exit their extraordinary public support measures.
Local Note:
Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, 2017. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries.
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