Cover image for Era of Uncertainty : Global Investment Strategies for Inflation, Deflation, and the Middle Ground.
Era of Uncertainty : Global Investment Strategies for Inflation, Deflation, and the Middle Ground.
Title:
Era of Uncertainty : Global Investment Strategies for Inflation, Deflation, and the Middle Ground.
Author:
Trahan, Francois.
ISBN:
9781118134078
Personal Author:
Edition:
1st ed.
Physical Description:
1 online resource (256 pages)
Contents:
The Era of Uncertainty: Global Investment Strategies for Inflation, Deflation, and the Middle Ground -- Contents -- Foreword -- Preface -- Acknowledgments -- Part I: Why "Macro Matters" -- Chapter 1: What Is Macro, and Why Should Investors Care? -- Macro Explains More Than 70 Percent of Equity Returns -- Macro's Role In Bubble-Mania -- Chapter Summary -- Chapter 2: The Ever-Changing Macro Landscape -- Macro in the Age of Globalization -- The Increasing Role of Macro In the Years Ahead -- Learning From Macro-Driven Markets of the past -- Chapter Summary -- Chapter 3: Harnessing the Power of the Business Cycle in Investing -- Macro Is The Bedrock of Successful Investing -- Chapter Summary -- Chapter 4: The Pitfalls of Ignoring Macro Influences: Accidental Success -- Macro Lessons Are Learned through Experience -- Chapter Summary -- Part II: The Roots of the New Era of Uncertainty: The Credit Crisis -- Chapter 5: A View From the Front Lines -- The Bubble Intensifies -- Slaying of the Bear -- Chapter Summary -- Chapter 6: In the Weeds -- The Fog of War -- The Bubble Was Predictable! -- And the End Was Foreseeable . . . Macro Could Have Helped -- Chapter Summary -- Part III: Current Policies Are Leading Us Down an Unsustainable Path -- Chapter 7: No More Tools In the Toolbox -- A Breakdown In the Traditional Economic Model of the United States -- It's All About the Consumer! -- Exports Are Not Enough -- Chapter Summary -- Chapter 8: The Government's Un-Safety Net -- Inflation Enters the Picture -- Spinning Our Wheels -- Nowhere Fast -- Chapter Summary -- Chapter 9: Kicking The Can Down the Road -- QE Was An Experiment -- We're All Keynesians Now…Unfortunately? -- Uncertainty Kills Growth -- The State and Local Time Bomb -- The Privatization Option -- No Short-Term Fixes -- Chapter Summary -- Chapter 10: Threats to Righting the Path of Policy.

Mobility Threatens Austerity -- Inequality and Protectionism -- Business Cycle Trends Could Exacerbate the Policy Conundrum -- Chapter Summary -- Part IV: Investing for An Uncertain Future -- Chapter 11: A Closer Look at Inflation -- Anatomy of Inflation in the United States -- The Consumer IS Exposed to Food and Energy -- Policies to Avoid Deflation Often Lead to Inflation -- Pushing On A String -- Inflation has Social and Political Consequences -- Market Indications of Inflation -- Chapter Summary -- Chapter 12: Strategies for Investing in Inflationary and Deflationary Environments -- Conventional Wisdom-Hedging for Higher Inflation -- Making the Turn-Hedging for Slower Growth -- Policy Responses Bring About Extremes -- Disinflation Versus Deflation -- Mild Deflation Versus Deflationary Spiral -- Fixed Income Is a Deflationary Safe Haven -- The Middle Ground -- Goldilocks in the Emerging Markets -- Chapter Summary -- Part V: Unintended Consequences and Creative Solutions -- Chapter 13: Unintended Consequences -- QE = WMD? -- Chapter Summary -- Chapter 14: Creative Alternatives for the Future -- The War on the Deficit -- Chapter Summary -- Epilogue: The Financial Services Industry in the Era of Uncertainty -- Notes -- About the Authors -- About the Digital Companion -- Index.
Abstract:
Macroeconomic Investment Strategies for an Era of Economic Uncertainty "Over the years, François' insightful analyses of the business cycle has led to market calls that have both benefitted investors on the upside and (more important to many) protected them from losses on the downside. François' incredible track record in successfully interpreting the trends that can be found in leading indicators and other macroeconomic data have also led to his well deserved reputation as an expert in sector rotation - providing investors on both the long and short side of the market opportunities to profit from his ideas. In my opinion, his most important and influential macro prediction to date was his call in the middle of the last decade when he predicted that the worst housing crisis in American history would soon be upon us, and that it would have far-ranging implications for both the global economy and world financial markets.".
Local Note:
Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, 2017. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries.
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