Energy Production, Consumption, and Consequences -- Copyright -- PREFACE -- Contents -- ENERGY PLANNING IN A DYNAMIC WORLD: OVERVIEW AND PERSPECTIVE -- Supply, Demand, And Reappraisal -- The Environmental Dimension -- The Energy Planning Window -- The Role Of Technology -- Some Implications for Strategy -- Increasing Energy Efficiency -- Promoting Hydrogen-Rich Fuels -- Revisiting Nuclear Fission -- Synergies And Conclusion -- References -- 1 SUPPLY, DEMAND, AND REAPPRAISAL -- ENERGY IN RETROSPECT: IS THE PAST PROLOGUE? -- The Ratio of Energy to Gross National Product -- Increasing Supply and Reducing Demand -- Incrementalism and Its Consequences -- International Perspectives -- Conclusions -- References -- ENERGY EFFICIENCY: ITS POTENTIAL AND LIMITS TO THE YEAR 2000 -- Historical Perspective -- Future Implications -- Conclusions -- References -- IMPLICATIONS OF CONTINUING ELECTRIFICATION -- Historical Perspective -- Biospheric Implications -- Technology Implications -- Sociological Implications -- Implications For National Energy Policy -- References -- 2 ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES -- GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL FORCES -- References -- REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL FORCES: A METHODOLOGY FOR ASSESSMENT AND PREDICTION -- Toward A Synoptic Framework -- Noteworthy Atmospheric Properties -- Interactions -- Assessments -- Extending The Framework In Space and Time -- Concepts and Goals -- Air Quality Assessment and Scenario Design -- Assessment for Europe -- Regional Impacts -- Global Impacts -- Summary -- Extending The Framework To Different Regimes -- Discussion and Conclusions -- Acknowledgment -- References -- THE AUTOMOBILE AND THE ATMOSPHERE -- Alternative Motor Vehicle Energy Strategies -- The Energy Storage Qualities of Liquid Fuels -- Dominance Of Gasoline and Diesel Fuel -- Development of Emission Control For Conventional Vehicles -- Ozone Formation.

The Development of Emission Controls -- Environmental Response -- Ambient Concentration Data -- National Ambient Air Quality Standards -- Location and Severity of Violations -- Alternative Fuels and Their Effects On Air Quality -- Methanol as a Motor Fuel -- Computer Simulation Studies (Single Day) -- Multiday Simulation Studies -- Public Health and Direct Formaldehyde Emissions -- Public Policy Strategies -- Customer Value and Fuel Strategy -- Conclusions -- References -- 3 EVOLVING VULNERABILITIES AND OPPORTUNITIES -- MANAGING VOLATILITY IN THE OIL INDUSTRY -- Long-Term Commodities Prices -- Futures Trading and Price Volatility -- U.S. Oil and Gas Additions and Production -- Exploration and Production Sector Activity -- Behavior Patterns -- Revenues -- Rein vestment Patterns -- Future Crude Oil Prices -- Future U.S. Oil and Gas Additions and Production -- Geologic and Technological Surprises -- Exploration and Production Sector Revenues and Cash Flow -- U.S. Crude Oil Imports -- Changes in Refining Capacity -- Retail Gasoline Sector -- Fuel Switchability in Industrial Boilers -- A Systems Theory Approach -- Conclusions -- Notes -- References -- THE UNCERTAIN FUTURE ROLE OF NATURAL GAS -- Resource Availability -- Economics of Natural Gas -- Environment, Safety, and Siting -- Conclusion -- Reference -- EUROPEAN NATURAL GAS SUPPLIES AND MARKETS -- The Natural Gas Resource Base Available to Europe -- Western European Gas Consumption -- Western European Gas Supply -- Conclusions -- FUTURE CONSEQUENCES OF NUCLEAR NONPOLICY -- But First, What Went Right? -- What Went Wrong? -- How Do We Fix It? -- Consequences of Continued Indifference -- Issues -- Notes -- References -- 4 IMPLICATIONS FOR STRATEGY -- ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT, AND DEVELOPMENT -- Reference -- WHAT TO DO ABOUT CO2 -- Human Activity and The Atmosphere -- The Greenhouse Effect.

Understanding Climate -- Natural Climatic Change -- Modeling Climate -- Regional Climatic Response -- Uncertainties -- Climate Futures -- Likely Environmental Impacts -- Economic, Social and Political Consequences -- Risk Assessment -- The Policy Response Spectrum -- Sustainable Policy Responses: "Tie-In Strategies" -- References -- ACHIEVING CONTINUING ELECTRIFICATION -- Demand -- Supply -- Reliability -- Deregulation -- Transmission Access -- Role of Technology -- Conclusion -- References -- REGIONAL APPROACHES TO TRANSBOUNDARY AIR POLLUTION -- Joint Programs and Agreements -- Policy Criteria for International Agreements -- Economic Rationale -- Verification -- Weighing the Equities -- Note -- References -- EFFICIENCY, MACHIAVELLI, AND BUDDHA -- Note -- Reference -- CONTRIBUTORS -- INDEX.