Inland Navigation System Planning: The Upper Mississippi River-Illinois Waterway -- Preface -- Acknowledgment of Reviewers -- Contents -- Executive Summary -- ECONOMICS -- Spatial Equilibrium Model and ESSENCE -- Managing Congestion -- INLAND WATERWAY AND WATER RESOURCES SYSTEM PLANNING -- Integrated Systems Planning -- Independent Review -- U.S. Federal Principles and Guidelines -- ENVIRONMENT -- Effects of the Navigation System on the Environment -- Adaptive Management -- Adaptive Mitigation Strategy -- ENGINEERING -- 1 Introduction -- UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER NAVIGATION -- NAVIGATION SYSTEM FEASIBILITY STUDY OF THE WATERWAY SYSTEM -- CHARGE TO THE COMMITTEE -- 2 The Public Interest in the Upper Mississippi River -- Allocating Use of a Waterway -- 3 U.S. Federal and Corps of Engineers Water Resources Planning Guidelines -- ESTABLISHING THE PRINCIPLES AND GUIDELINES -- The Federal Objective -- National Economic Development -- Water Resources Project Planning -- CRITIQUE -- Stating Environmental Quality Objectives -- Advanced Analytical Methods and Datasets -- Uncertainty in Formulation and Evaluation of Alternatives -- Revising the Principles and Guidelines -- 4 The Navigation Feasibility Study -- PROJECT SCOPING, ALTERNATIVES, AND INTEGRATION -- Plan Formulation -- Environmental Context of UMR-IWW Planning -- ECONOMICS -- Traffic Demand Forecasts -- Steps in Traffic Forecasting -- Demand Models in the UMR-IWW Feasibility Study -- Commodity Production and Uses -- Route Choice -- Mode Choice and Transportation Congestion -- Strengths of the Corps' Models -- Weaknesses of the Corps' Models -- Forecasts of Domestic and Foreign Commodity Production and Use -- Sensitivity of Waterway Tonnage to Barge Tariffs -- Alternative Demand Curve Specifications, Willingness to Pay Concepts, and Calculation of NED Benefits -- Modeling Lock Congestion.

Treatment of Uncertainty -- ENVIRONMENT -- Lock and Dam 26 -- Environmental Data, Modeling, and Related Analyses -- Deficiencies of the Navigation Feasibility Study -- Lack of Systematic and Integrated Analyses -- ENGINEERING -- Lock and Dam Rehabilitation -- Construction Costs -- The Value of Independent Peer Review -- 5 Improving Waterway System Planning -- CONTEMPORARY UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS: THE STATE OF THE ART -- Analysis Under Uncertainty -- Sensitivity Analysis -- Monte Carlo Analysis -- Scenario Analysis -- Wait and See -- Finding Robust Strategies -- Comparing Approaches -- SHORT-TERM (NONSTRUCTURAL) MEASURES -- Congestion Problems on the Upper Mississippi -- Other Strategies for Alleviating Congestion -- LONGER-TERM MEASURES -- Traffic Demand Forecasts -- Forecasting World Import and U.S. Export Demands -- Forecasting Model Accuracy -- Dealing with Uncertainty -- Data Requirements -- Origin Data -- Transportation Rates -- Quantities Shipped from Each Origin -- Destination Data -- Developing a Disaggregated Spatial Equilibrium Model for Grain Transport -- ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS -- Adaptive Management -- Adaptive Management on the UMR-IWW System -- The Corps' Adaptive Mitigation Strategy -- Improving the UMR-IWW Environmental Analyses -- Systemwide Analysis of Environmental Effects -- Cumulative Effects of the Navigation System on River Ecology -- Site-Specific Impact Assessment -- Toward Better Integration: Interagency Coordination -- Toward Better Integration: Interdisciplinary Considerations -- Environmental Costs and Valuation of Ecosystem Services -- 6 Summary and Recommendations -- References -- Appendixes -- Appendix A Participating Agencies in the Corps' 1991 Plan of Study -- Federal agencies: -- State agencies: -- Appendix B U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Executive Summary for the Corps of Engineers System Navigation….

PROPOSED PROJECT -- ENVIRONMENTAL SETTING -- ENDANGERED SPECIES ACT COMPLIANCE -- SUMMARY OF NAVIGATION STUDY ISSUES AND CONCLUSIONS -- The current analysis is deficient. -- RECOMMENDATIONS -- Appendix C -- Tradable Lockage Permits -- Implementing Tradable Permits-Experience from Other Programs -- New Entrants -- Quantifying Tradable Rights -- Facilitating Transactions and Disseminating Information -- Assuring Adequate Monitoring/Enforcement -- Documenting Welfare Gains -- Implications from Other Tradable Permit Programs -- REFERENCES -- Appendix D Biographical Sketches Committee to Review the Upper Mississippi River-Illinois Waterway Navigation….