Cover image for Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice.
Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice.
Title:
Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice.
Author:
Lucas, Robert E.
ISBN:
9780816655557
Personal Author:
Physical Description:
1 online resource (334 pages)
Contents:
Contents -- 4. General Applications -- Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods -- Money, Income, and Causality -- Rational Expectations and the Dynamics of Hyperinflation -- The Demand for Money during Hyperinflations under Rational Expectations -- A Note on Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the Rational Expectations Model of the Term Structure -- Estimation of Dynamic Labor Demand Schedules under Rational Expectations -- Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Hypothesis: Theory and Evidence -- 5. Testing for Neutrality -- A Classical Macroeconometric Model for the United States -- The Observational Equivalence of Natural and Unnatural Rate Theories of Macroeconomics -- Unanticipated Money Growth and Unemployment in the United States -- Unanticipated Money, Output, and the Price Level in the United States -- 6. Macroeconomic Control Problems -- Rules Rather than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans -- On the Time Consistency of Optimal Policy in a Monetary Economy -- Estimation and Control of a Macroeconomic Model with Rational Expectations -- Estimation and Optimal Control of Dynamic Game Models under Rational Expectations.
Abstract:
Assumptins about how people form expectations for the future shape the properties of any dynamic economic model. To make economic decisions in an uncertain environment people must forecast such variables as future rates of inflation, tax rates, government subsidy schemes and regulations. The doctrine of rational expectations uses standard economic methods to explain how those expectations are formed. This work collects the papers that have made significant contributions to formulating the idea of rational expectations. Most of the papers deal with the connections between observed economic behavior and the evaluation of alternative economic policies.
Local Note:
Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, 2017. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries.
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