Cover image for Guidebook for Supporting Decision Making Under Uncertainties : Today's Managers, Tomorrow's Business.
Guidebook for Supporting Decision Making Under Uncertainties : Today's Managers, Tomorrow's Business.
Title:
Guidebook for Supporting Decision Making Under Uncertainties : Today's Managers, Tomorrow's Business.
Author:
Piccirillo, Ettore.
ISBN:
9789812770080
Personal Author:
Physical Description:
1 online resource (160 pages)
Contents:
CONTENTS -- Prologue -- Acknowledgements -- Chapter 1 Decision Under Uncertainty -- A Radical Change of Perspective -- The New Business Drivers -- Traditional Accounting Measures are Surpassed -- The constant strive for growth -- How to turn uncertainty into value -- How to quantify the value added by intangibles -- A New Approach to Value -- Reflection on Learnings -- Chapter 2 Critical Review of Accounting Performance Measures -- Residual Income Indicators -- The background of Residual Income Indicators (RII) -- Residual income indicators vs. traditional performance measures -- Discussion of NPV vs. IRR and ROI -- Return on equity (ROE) -- Dividends and EPS -- Three advanced residual income indicators -- Rappaport -- TBR (Total Business Return) -- Similarities and differences -- Shortcomings -- Time Issues -- Reinvestment rate -- Non-constant accumulation of project risk -- Time-varying discount rates -- Time-varying discount rate components -- Terminal value calculation -- Capital Scale Issues -- Implications -- Reflection on Learnings -- Chapter 3 Critical Review of Strategic Criteria -- Shortcomings of Existing Methodology -- Strategic Issues -- Impact on Residual Income Indicators -- Reflection on Learnings -- Chapter 4 A Way Forward: Quantitative Decision Making Measures -- The Enhanced NPV -- Uncertainty concept -- The model -- The Capital Scale Index -- Scale issues -- The model -- A simple application example -- TheOperatingValueAddedModel -- Lifetime of the project -- Real options -- An application example -- Reflection on Learnings -- Chapter 5 A Way Forward: Qualitative Decision Making Measures -- Project Value Chain -- Innovation/new technology -- Technical expertise -- Customer relations -- Supply chain development/relations -- Financial resources -- Profit sustainers -- Supply chain positioning -- Product differentiation.

Superior risk management -- Lean/operational excellence -- Operational flexibility -- The Growth Matrix -- Questionnaire data processing -- RiskAnalysis -- Risk management -- Risk management methodology -- Strategic objectives -- Risk identification -- Risk quantification -- Risk mitigation -- Low severity, low expectancy -- High severity, low expectancy -- Low severity, high expectancy -- Low severity, low expectancy -- High severity, high expectancy -- Frequency induced corrective actions -- Risk index -- Reflection on Learnings -- Chapter 6 The Framework -- TheVision -- Residual Income Indicator -- Capital Scale Index -- Growth Matrix -- Risk Analysis -- Summary -- Reflection on Learnings -- Chapter 7 Implementing a Case Illustration -- Residual Income Indicator -- Growth Matrix -- Risk Analysis -- Reflection on Learnings -- Conclusions: A Way Forward -- Certainty and Uncertainty -- Influencing Factors -- Scope of the decision -- External conditioning -- How can we Help the Decision-Making Process? -- A Framework for Taking Decisions -- Appendix -- Effect of DiscountingModel -- Comparison of Different Residual Income Indicators on Value Creation -- Effect of Additional Flexibility (Real Options) onto the Plan Value -- Comparison of Different Residual Income Indicators on Terminal Value -- Effect of Initial Capital on Value Creation -- Comparison Between Profitability Index and Capital Scale Index -- References -- Index.
Abstract:
This book provides much-needed guidance in making sound business decisions for the business leader or decision maker, especially investment appraisal practitioners such as strategic planners, business analysts, financial partners, and supply chain experts. By "supply chain", the authors mean the network of retailers, distributors, transporters, storage facilities and suppliers that participate in the sale, delivery and production of a particular product. The book begins with an introduction to the concept of decision making under uncertainty and the forces driving the business. A gap in the current knowledge is then discovered as it arises from an analysis of the profitability indicators that are currently being used. With hands-on experience in decision making within the supply chain environment, and coupled with leading-edge mathematical and business formulations, the authors propose how to enrich quantitative and qualitative decision-making measures. This further leads to a decision-making framework and process, supported by a ready-to-use tool (PADOVA). Sample Chapter(s). Chapter 1: Decision Under Uncertainty (163 KB). Contents: Decision Under Uncertainty; Critical Review of Accounting Performance Measures; Critical Review of Strategic Criteria; A Way Forward: Quantitative Decision Making Measures; A Way Forward: Qualitative Decision Making Measures; The Framework. Readership: Investment appraisal practitioners such as strategic planners, business analysts, financial partners, and supply chain experts alike; graduate-level students in business administration or operations management.
Local Note:
Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, 2017. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries.
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