Title Page -- Copyright -- Contents -- Foreword -- The Report Team -- Acronyms and Abbreviations -- Overview -- Let Them Fight it Out among Themselves? -- What Can We Do about Ancestral Hatreds? -- The Conflict Trap -- The Rising Global Incidence of Conflict -- Nothing Can be Done -- Part I - Cry Havoc Why Civil War Matters -- Chapter One - Civil War as Development in Reverse -- Costs during Conflict -- Legacy Effects of Civil War -- Conclusion -- Chapter Two - Let Them Fight it Out among Themselves? -- Neighborhood Effects of Civil War -- lobal Effects of Civil War -- Conclusion -- Part II - What Fuels Civil War? -- Chapter Three - What Makes a Country Prone to Civil War? -- Understanding Rebellion -- The Conflict Trap -- Conclusion -- Chapter Four - Why is Civil War so Common? -- Changes in the Global Pattern of Civil War -- Changes in the Incidence of Civil War -- Unpacking the Global Incidence of Civil War -- Conclusion: Poverty and the Conflict Trap -- Part III - Policies for Peace -- Chapter Five - What Works Where? -- Conflict Prevention in the Successful Developers -- Marginalized Countries at Peace -- Ending Conflicts -- Reducing Postconflict Risks -- Conclusion -- Chapter Six - An Agenda for International Action -- Precedents for International Action -- International Policies for Peace -- Conclusion: A New Goal for 2015? -- Appendix 1 - Methods and Data -- Data Set and Model -- Data Sources -- Appendix 2 - A Selected Bibliography of Studies of Civil War and Rebellion -- Economic Factors -- Role of Ethnicity and Nationalism -- Anatomy of Rebellion -- Role of the State -- Negotiation and Implementation of Peace -- Bibliography -- References -- Back cover.