Cover -- Title Page -- Copyright -- Preface -- Contents -- Figures -- Tables -- Summary -- Acknowledgments -- Abbreviations -- CHAPTER ONE: Introduction -- CHAPTER TWO: Model, Data, and Estimates -- Model -- Reserve Decisionmaking -- Active Decisionmaking -- Model to Estimation -- Data -- Work Experience File Data -- Basic Pay, Regular Military Compensation, and Retirement Benefits -- Civilian Earnings -- Estimation -- Approach to Simulation -- Simulation of Cost -- Model Fit -- CHAPTER THREE: Analysis of Congressional Proposals -- Across-the-Board Pay Raise -- Effects of Force Management -- Effect on Active Retention -- Effect on Participation in the Reserves -- Effect on Reserve Retirement Rates and Reserve Force Size -- Effects on Cost -- Summary -- CHAPTER FOUR: Reserve Retirement Reform: Discussion of Broader Issues -- Equity -- Age of Pension Receipt -- Pro Rata Years of Service -- Basic Pay -- Discussion -- Recognition of More-Frequent and Longer Deployments -- Ensuring an Adequate Supply of Reservists -- Retention and Sorting -- Reserve Retirement and Force-Shaping in Today's Reserves -- Flexible Personnel Management -- Cost-Effectiveness -- CHAPTER FIVE: Reserve Retirement in the Context of Active-Duty Retirement Reform -- An Overview of Past Proposals to Reform Active Retirement -- Cost -- Equity -- Civilian Comparability -- Force-Management Flexibility -- Selective Retention -- Relevance of Proposals to Reserve Retirement Reform -- CHAPTER SIX: Implementation and Obstacles to Reform -- An Outline of a Theory of Successful Reform -- Applying the Theory to Military Retirement Reform -- A Case Study of Successful Reform: The Federal Employees Retirement System -- CHAPTER SEVEN: Policy Implications and Conclusions -- APPENDIXES -- A. The Reserve and Active-Duty Retirement Systems -- B. The Active/Reserve Dynamic Retention Model.

C. Cholesky Decomposition and the Parameter Estimates -- D. Theory of Successful Reform -- Bibliography.