Cover -- Title page -- Copyright page -- Contents -- Acknowledgements -- Foreword -- Acronyms -- Chapter 1 - Beginnings -- Climate Change and South Africa -- 2005: a quick tour through Climate Science … then -- International co-operation -- South Africa: important or insignificant? -- Breaking the impasse -- An idea -- Context -- The 'what if' questions -- First steps -- Chapter 2 - Method -- The case for Scenarios -- Scenario fundamentals -- 'Context' Scenarios in the LTMS -- The effectiveness of Scenarios -- The assessment approach of the LTMS -- Achieving social accountability through stakeholders -- Facilitation in the LTMS -- Consensus seeking -- A word on social accountability -- Finally -- Chapter 3 - Building the Scenarios -- Chronology of the LTMS study at Scenario Building Team (SBT) level -- Setting up the SBT -- The issue of facilitators and process administrators -- Technical content -- Communication -- Wrapping up the preparations -- SBT 1 kicks off -- Research groups -- Rules of the game -- Status of work -- Definition of main terms -- Background to the Scenarios: the South African context -- Next steps -- Chapter 4 - The picture emerges -- SBT 2 and 3 -- The base year, and the horizon year -- Building Scenario 5 -- Energy emissions: the big job in Scenario A -- SBT 3 and 4 -- Exploring the actions -- Nuclear versus renewables -- Chapter 5 - Getting there -- Building wedges of emissions reductions -- The last gap -- The day of the 'fairy godmother' technologies -- SBT 5 -- A remarkable consensus -- Future contextual 'Scenarios': the external environment -- The final draft package -- Economy-wide modelling -- The last Working Group -- SBT 6: The fi nal SBT meeting -- Planning the next phase -- Adieu SBT? -- Chapter 6 - Response, reaction -- The four Round Tables -- Government -- Civil society -- Labour -- Business.

A special moment -- The Cabinet response -- The international stage -- The World Bank review and other responses -- On balance -- Some criticisms -- Finally, Copenhagen -- Chapter 7 - From Scenarios to plans -- The LTMS and the policy process -- Planning for low carbon -- Could South Africa do it? -- Chapter 8 - Conclusion -- Other country processes -- An LTAS? -- Some personal reflections -- Annexure 1 - Some climate facts pertinent to South Africa -- Annexure 2 - The terms of reference for the LTMS -- Annexure 3 - Scenario examples -- Annexure 4 - Methodology for Scenario building -- Annexure 5 - Assessment examples -- Annexure 6 - Assessment methodology -- Annexure 7 - Management in the LTMS -- Annexure 8 - Team members identified for SBT 1 -- Annexure 9 - A list of 'fairy godmother' technologies -- Annexure 10 - Media Statement by Marthinus Van Schalkwyk, Minister of Environmental Affairs and Tourism, Cape Town, 28 July 2008 -- Annexure 11 - LTMS Cabinet media release presentation -- Author biography -- Back cover.