The Janus Factor: Trend Follower's Guide to Market Dialectics -- Copyright -- The Janus Factor -- Contents -- Introduction -- Acknowledgments -- Chapter 1: Foundations -- Serendipity -- The Data Set -- Reasons and Causes -- Befuddled -- Which Way Is Up? -- Notes -- Chapter 2: The Assignment -- Measuring Risk: Offense and Defense -- Picturing Offense and Defense -- The Benchmark Equivalence Line (BEL) -- The Trend of Relative Performance -- Notes -- Chapter 3: Feedback and Capital Flow -- Feedback -- Feedback and Capital Flow -- Calculating Relative Strength -- The Relative Strength Spread -- Trend Followers and Contrarians -- Notes -- Chapter 4: The Janus Factor -- Structure and Entropy -- Confidence -- Is the Market Predictable? -- Balancing Acts and Paradigm Shifts -- Notes -- Chapter 5: Seasons of Success -- The Venturi Effect -- The Relative Strength Spread and the Performance Spread -- The Performance Spread: 1998-2003 -- A Tour of Momentum -- Group Studies -- Notes -- Chapter 6: Why Jesse Went Broke -- The Cotton King -- 1911-1914 -- The Final Years -- Notes -- Chapter 7: Sheep Dogs and Other Contrarians -- The Sheep Dog Effect -- A Contrarian Hedge? -- The Contrarian Rebound -- The Contrarian Collapse -- Black Monday -- Notes -- Chapter 8: Situational Awareness -- Bielema's Choice -- The Bet -- Let Us Calculate! -- Notes -- Chapter 9: The Direction of Momentum -- Relative Momentum -- Relative Momentum versus Relative Strength -- Notes -- Chapter 10: Long Strategies -- The Critical Moving Average -- The DOM Strategy -- Contrarian Threats -- A Defensive Long Strategy -- It's a Bull Market, You Know -- Notes -- Chapter 11: The Complete Strategy -- Combined Long and Short Strategies -- The Model Portfolio -- Execution -- Notes -- Appendix -- About the Author -- Index.