Cover -- Title Page -- Copyright -- Preface -- Contents -- Figures -- Tables -- Summary -- Acknowledgments -- Abbreviations -- CHAPTER ONE Introduction -- Historical Background -- The Types of Collapse -- Planning and Preparing for a North Korean Government Collapse -- Methodology -- The Need for Better Preparation -- Report Outline -- CHAPTER TWO Possibilities for Collapse -- Conceptualizing Government Collapse -- The Uncertain North Korean Situation -- The Background of Collapse and Potential Future Shocks -- North Korean Economic Difficulties -- North Korean Agriculture, Food, and Health -- Damage to the North Korean Control System -- Failing Information Control -- The Culture of Economic Criminality: Black Markets and Bribery -- Other Rebellious Behavior in North Korea -- The Weakened North Korean Military -- Concluding Commentary on North Korean Conditions -- How Might the North Korean Government Collapse? -- Getting a ROK Decision to Intervene and Seek Unification -- Two Key Assumptions -- CHAPTER THREE The Potential Consequences of Collapse -- The Potential Consequences -- Consequences in North Korea -- The Failure of Government Functions -- Conflict -- Severe Famine, Starvation, and Other Health Consequences -- Human Rights Consequences -- Internally Displaced People and Refugees -- Potential Consequences in South Korea -- North Korean Military Threats to the ROK as a Collapse Develops -- North Korean Military Threats to the ROK Postcollapse -- Other North Korean Security Threats to the ROK Postcollapse -- The Potential Implications of Chinese Intervention -- Implications for the United States -- Military Damage -- Other Costs -- ROK and U.S. Decisions to Intervene -- Military Implications of a ROK and U.S. Intervention in North Korea -- The Financial Costs of Intervention -- Some Political Costs.

Arranging an Intervention in North Korea -- Chinese Involvement -- Would China Intervene? -- Potential Consequences of Chinese Intervention -- Potential Consequences of China Not Intervening -- CHAPTER FOUR Addressing North Korean Thinking About Unification -- The Challenges of North Korean Indoctrination and Fear -- North Korea Is Rich, South Korea Is Poor -- The United States Is the Enemy -- The Challenge of North Koreans' Fears for Their Future -- Overcoming North Korean Indoctrination and Fear -- Initial Messages: "The ROK Is a Great Country" -- Next Steps: The North Korean People Can Attain ROK Plenty -- Building Positive North Korean Postunification Quality-of-Life Expectations -- Organizing and Timing These Messages -- Do Not Go Too Far: North Korea Is Not Yet Ready for Open Rebellion -- The Failures of the North Korean Government -- Other Key Messages -- Preventing North Korean Disaffection -- CHAPTER FIVE Challenges of and Responses to Humanitarian Disaster -- Challenges That Would Contribute to a Humanitarian Disaster -- Mitigating the Humanitarian Disaster Challenges -- Policies for Mitigating Humanitarian Disaster -- Strategies for Providing for North Korean Welfare Through Humanitarian Aid -- Strategies for Providing for North Korean Welfare Through Economic Stability -- Other Preparations Required -- CHAPTER SIX Challenges of and Responses to Conflict and Military Forces in North Korea -- The Challenges from Conflict in North Korea -- The ROK Demographic Challenge -- Mitigating the Conflict Challenges -- Concepts and Policies for Mitigating Korean Conflict -- Strategies for Mitigating Conflict in North Korea -- Other Preparations Required -- Demilitarizing the North Korean Military Forces -- Ideal Disarmament, Demobilization, and Reintegration Thinking -- Problems Applying the Traditional Approaches to North Korea.

Concepts and Policies for Demilitarizing the North Korean Military Forces -- Strategies for Demilitarizing the North Korean Military Forces -- Other Preparations Required -- Eliminating North Korean WMD and Other Weapons -- Concepts and Policies for Eliminating North Korean WMD and Other Weapons -- Strategies for Eliminating the North Korean WMD -- Collecting Dispersed WMD and Related Assets -- Stopping Proliferation -- Other Preparations Required -- CHAPTER SEVEN Challenges of and Responses to Security Services and Human Rights Disasters -- The Challenges of North Korean Security Services and Potential Human Rights Disasters -- Dealing with the Security Services -- Determining Which Security Service Personnel to Characterize as Criminals -- Identifying and Detaining the Security Service Personnel -- Dealing with Criminal Behavior -- Taking Care of Security Service Personnel Not Determined to Be Criminals -- Preparing the Legal System for Handling Security Service Personnel -- Preventing Human Rights Disasters -- Taking Control of the Camps -- Actions to Be Taken at the Political Prisons -- Preparing for Freeing the Political Prisons -- CHAPTER EIGHT Challenges of and Responses to Ownership Issues -- The Challenges of North Korean Ownership Issues -- Establishing an Ownership Framework -- Concepts and Policies for North Korean Ownership -- Strategies for North Korean Ownership -- Other Preparations Required -- CHAPTER NINE Challenges of and Responses to Potential Chinese Intervention -- The Challenges of Chinese Intervention -- The Feasibility of Chinese Intervention -- How Quickly Might China Intervene? -- Dealing with a Chinese Intervention -- Possible Chinese Strategic Objectives -- ROK and U.S. Objectives -- Formulating ROK and U.S. Strategy Relative to China -- Shaping and Moderating the Effects of Chinese Intervention.

CHAPTER TEN Addressing the Prerequisites of Collapse Preparation -- Convincing the ROK Population to Address North Korean Collapse -- North Korean Government Collapse Appears to Be More a Matter of Time -- Preparing for a Peaceful Unification -- Other Possible Futures -- Summation -- An Approach to Preparing for the Korean Future -- Providing Sufficient Military Capability -- Maximizing the Size of the Active Duty ROK Military -- Preparing to Use ROK Active Duty Forces Most Effectively -- Creating More Useful ROK Reserve Forces -- Utilizing the Forces of Other Nations -- Conclusions -- References.