PREFACE -- FIGURES -- TABLES -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- ABBREVIATIONS -- Chapter One INTRODUCTION: THE PRICE OF SUCCESS -- WHAT HAS STAYED THE SAME -- WHAT HAS CHANGED -- Smaller-Scale Contingencies -- The Threat of Weapons of Mass Destruction -- EMERGING CHALLENGES -- EMERGING OPPORTUNITIES -- GETTING PAST SUCCESS -- Part I THE GEOPOLITICAL CONTEXT FOR AEROSPACE POWER -- Chapter Two FORCES FOR WHAT? GEOPOLITICAL CONTEXT AND AIR FORCE CAPABILITIES -- THE GEOPOLITICAL CONTEXT -- Evolution of the International System -- U.S. Goals -- U.S. REQUIREMENTS FOR MILITARY FORCES -- THE MATURATION OF U.S. AEROSPACE POWER: CAPABILITIES OF TODAY'S FORCES -- Defeating Enemy Air Attacks -- Destroying Fixed Targets -- Destroying Mechanized Ground Forces -- Information and Its Uses -- Survivability -- Implications for U.S. Joint Operations -- CHALLENGES FOR THE USAF -- Modernization and Recapitalization -- Human Capital -- CONCLUSION: CREATING OPTIONS -- REFERENCES -- Chapter Three THE FUTURE OF U.S. COERCIVE AIRPOWER -- THE AMERICAN WAY OF COERCION -- A Preference for Multilateralism -- An Intolerance for Casualties -- Aversion to Civilian Suffering -- A Preference for and a Belief in Technological Solutions -- A Commitment to International Norms -- Summary -- ADVERSARY COUNTERCOERCIVE STRATEGIES: A TAXONOMY -- Create Innocent Suffering -- Shatter Alliances -- Create Counteralliances -- Create Actual or Prospective U.S. or Allied Casualties -- Play Up Nationalism at Home -- Threaten Use of WMD -- THE FUTURE OF U.S. COERCIVE AIRPOWER -- REFERENCES -- Part II WHERE DOES THE USAF NEED TO GO? -- Chapter Four MODERNIZING THE COMBAT FORCES: NEAR-TERM OPTIONS -- MISSIONS -- CONDITIONS AND CONSTRAINTS -- ROLES OF AIR AND SPACE FORCES -- MODERNIZATION-KEY CONSIDERATIONS -- An Aging Fleet -- Analytical Approach -- FORCE MIX ALTERNATIVES -- APPROACH -- FORCE MIX RECOMMENDATIONS.

Fighter-Bomber Mix -- Trades Among Fighters -- Summary Force Mix Alternatives -- COST SENSITIVITIES -- Impact of Cost Growth in F-22X and F-22E Programs -- Impact of Cost Growth in JSF Program -- SSCs AND ONGOING DEPLOYMENTS -- Force Requirements to Support Deployed Aircraft -- No-Fly and Exclusion Zones -- Force Structure Requirements for Ongoing Deployments and SSCs -- Force Structure Implications of SSCs -- SUMMARY -- REFERENCES -- Chapter Five SPACE CHALLENGES -- CURRENT SPACE ACTIVITIES -- The Civil Space Sector -- The Commercial Space Sector -- The National Security Space Sector -- World Players -- MOTIVATIONS FOR CHANGE -- Bureaucratic and Technological Forcing Functions -- Threat-Driven Considerations -- FUTURE CHOICES -- Policy -- Enterprise -- Organization -- WAYS AHEAD -- REFERENCES -- Chapter Six U.S. MILITARY OPPORTUNITIES: INFORMATION-WARFARE CONCEPTS OF OPERATION -- INTRODUCTION -- What Do We Mean by "Information Warfare"? -- The Importance of Offensive Information Warfare -- EMERGING ASYMMETRIC STRATEGIES -- Increasing Niche Capabilities -- Enemy Strategies That Target Key U.S. Vulnerabilities -- Political Constraints on U.S. Force Deployments -- DEVELOPING OPERATIONAL CONCEPTS FOR FUTURE OFFENSIVE INFORMATION WARFARE -- Information-Based Deterrence -- Preserving Strategic Reach -- Counterstrike -- Counter-C4ISR -- COMPARING THE FOUR CONOPS -- REFERENCES -- Chapter Seven NUCLEAR WEAPONS AND U.S. NATIONAL SECURITY STRATEGY FOR A NEW CENTURY -- WHY A REEVALUATION OF U.S. NUCLEAR POLICY IS NEEDED, AND WHY PEOPLE SHOULD CARE -- THE HISTORICAL CONTEXT: THE LEGACY, LESSONS, AND CONSTRAINTS -- The Cold War Legacy -- The Sea Change-The End of the Cold War -- WHY NUKES? -- AND WHY NOT -- WHERE NUCLEAR WEAPONS MIGHT FIT -- Terror Weapons for Traditional Deterrence -- Counterforce -- Special Targets -- Critical Military Situations.

A SPECTRUM OF NUCLEAR OPTIONS -- Abolition -- Aggressive Reductions and "Dealerting" -- "Business as Usual, Only Smaller" -- A More-Aggressive Nuclear Posture -- Nuclear Emphasis -- ISSUES AFFECTING U.S. CHOICES OF A FUTURE NUCLEAR STRATEGY -- Political Sustainability -- Maintaining a Robust Nuclear Deterrent -- Preparing for Operational Use of Nuclear Weapons -- Characteristics of Nuclear Weapon Systems -- Exploiting Asymmetries -- Nuclear Proliferation -- Is "Withering Away" of U.S. Nuclear Capability Inevitable? -- SO, WHERE DO WE GO FROM HERE? -- BIBLIOGRAPHY -- Chapter Eight COUNTERING WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION AND BALLISTIC MISSILES -- WMD CHARACTERISTICS AND SCENARIOS -- Background -- Characteristics of WMD Affecting Their Use -- WMD Scenarios -- Implications of These WMD Scenarios -- RESPONDING TO THE WMD THREAT: POTENTIAL AIR FORCE INITIATIVES -- POTENTIAL AIR FORCE TMD INITIATIVES -- TMD Concepts of Operation -- TMD Effectiveness Analyses -- POTENTIAL AIR FORCE NMD INITIATIVES -- Background: The Cold War -- Post-Cold War Issues -- NMD Systems Implications -- SUMMARY -- BIBLIOGRAPHY -- Part III SUPPORTING FUTURE FORCES -- Chapter Nine PROVIDING ADEQUATE ACCESS FOR EXPEDITIONARY AEROSPACE FORCES -- OVERTURE1 -- ACCESS YESTERDAY, TODAY, AND TOMORROW -- A Troublesome Track Record -- The Current Context of Military Access -- ACCESS OPTIONS: FROM "PURE" STRATEGIES TO A PORTFOLIO -- Five "Pure" Strategies -- Embracing Uncertainty with a Mixed Strategy -- BUILDING THE PORTFOLIO: EIGHT RECOMMENDATIONS -- Retain Existing MOBs -- Build Forward Support Locations -- Plan for Uncertainty -- Build AEFs with Flexible Configurations -- Develop Improved Active and Passive Defenses -- Expand Contacts with Potential Partners -- Adjust the Force Mix -- Explore New Options -- Summary of Recommendations -- CONCLUDING REMARKS -- REFERENCES.

Chapter Ten A VISION FOR AN EVOLVING AGILE COMBAT SUPPORT SYSTEM -- ACS DECISIONS AND THEIR "TRADE SPACE" -- AN ANALYTIC FRAMEWORK FOR STRATEGIC ACS PLANNING -- KEY FINDINGS FROM ACS MODELING RESEARCH -- OVERVIEW OF A GLOBAL ACS SYSTEM -- STRATEGIC AND LONG-TERM PLANNING FOR THE ACS SYSTEM -- REFERENCES -- Chapter Eleven STRATEGIC SOURCING IN THE AIR FORCE -- STRATEGIC SOURCING AND SUPPLY-CHAIN ALIGNMENT -- WHY IS THE AIR FORCE INTERESTED IN OUTSOURCING? -- POLICY ALTERNATIVES RELEVANT TO AN AIR FORCE STRATEGIC SOURCING PROGRAM -- Outsourcing -- Privatization -- Gain Sharing -- Innovative Contracting -- Reengineering -- Summary -- PURSUING STRATEGIC SOURCING AND SUPPLY-CHAIN ALIGNMENT IN COMPETITIVE SOURCING -- Eligible Inventory -- What Activities to Include -- Best-Value Competition -- Performance-Based Acquisition -- Incentives for Continuous Improvement -- Discussion -- LOOKING BEYOND COMPETITIVE SOURCING -- SUMMARY -- REFERENCES -- Chapter Twelve READY FOR WAR BUT NOT FOR PEACE: THE APPARENT PARADOX OF MILITARY PREPAREDNESS -- INTRODUCTION: THE CURRENT PARADOX OF READINESS -- OPERATIONAL READINESS AND HOW IT IS CURRENTLY ASSESSED -- TOWARD A MORE-ENCOMPASSING NOTION OF READINESS -- THE GREAT MISCONCEPTION ABOUT READINESS -- ESTIMATING SOME CURRENT MAJOR READINESS PROBLEMS -- Pilot Training and Flying Hours -- Maintainer Production and Training -- Shortages of Parts -- REASONS FOR READINESS PROBLEMS: PLANNED AND UNPLANNED -- Planned Readiness Shortfalls -- Unplanned Readiness Problems -- PROGRAMMERS VERSUS OPERATORS: WHO SHOULD BE IN CHARGE? -- MANAGING READINESS: REQUIREMENTS, RESOURCES, AND PROCESSES -- CONCLUSION: THERE IS NO PARADOX -- REFERENCES.