PREFACE -- CONTENTS -- FIGURES -- SUMMARY -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- Chapter One INTRODUCTION: STRATEGIC IMPLICATIONS OF RUSSIA'S DECLINE -- DECLINING, FAILING, AND DYSFUNCTIONAL STATES -- IS RUSSIA IN DECLINE? -- Chapter Two REGIONAL AUTONOMY OR INCREASED CENTRALIZATION? -- TRENDS TOWARD POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC DECENTRALIZATION -- GOVERNMENT RESPONSE -- Chapter Three THE RUSSIAN ECONOMY -- DEMONETIZATION, REFORM, AND POVERTY -- CAPITAL FLIGHT -- CRIME, CORRUPTION, AND THE SHADOW ECONOMY -- TURNAROUND? -- Chapter Four RUSSIA'S POLITICAL FUTURE: WHITHER DEMOCRACY AND FREEDOM? -- Chapter Five THE PEOPLE OF RUSSIA: ASSET OR LIABILITY? -- DEMOGRAPHICS -- ETHNICITY AND RACISM -- Chapter Six THE RUSSIAN MILITARY -- PUTIN AND THE MILITARY -- MILITARY REGIONALIZATION -- CONVENTIONAL FORCES: PERSONNEL AND EQUIPMENT -- NUCLEAR STRATEGY AND FORCES -- COMMAND AND CONTROL AND THE DANGER OF INADVERTENT NUCLEAR USE -- Chapter Seven WEAK LINKS: ROAD, RAIL, AND NUCLEAR POWER -- TRANSPORT AND DISTRIBUTION -- POWER PLANTS AND OTHER CIVILIAN AND MILITARY NUCLEAR FACILITIES -- Chapter Eight ILLUSTRATIVE SCENARIOS -- WAR IN ASIA -- The Scenario -- Implications -- NUCLEAR ACCIDENT -- The Scenario -- Implications -- TERRORIST USE OF NUCLEAR MATERIALS -- The Scenario -- Implications -- WAR IN THE CAUCASUS -- The Scenario -- Implications -- SCENARIO IMPLICATIONS -- Chapter Nine NEXT STEPS: PLANNING FOR AND PREVENTING CONTINGENCIES -- PLANNING FOR CONTINGENCIES -- PREVENTING CONTINGENCIES -- Chapter Ten THE AIR FORCE ROLE -- SELECTED BIBLIOGRAPHY.