Cover -- Title -- Copyright -- Contents -- Preface -- 1 Revealed Preference -- 1.1 Rationality? -- 1.2 Modeling a Decision Problem -- 1.3 Reason Is the Slave of the Passions -- 1.4 Lessons from Aesop -- 1.5 Revealed Preference -- 1.6 Rationality and Evolution -- 1.7 Utility -- 1.8 Challenging Transitivity -- 1.9 Causal Utility Fallacy -- 1.10 Positive and Normative -- 2 Game Theory -- 2.1 Introduction -- 2.2 What Is a Game? -- 2.3 Paradox of Rationality? -- 2.4 Newcomb's Problem -- 2.5 Extensive Form of a Game -- 3 Risk -- 3.1 Risk and Uncertainty -- 3.2 Von Neumann and Morgenstern -- 3.3 The St Petersburg Paradox -- 3.4 Expected Utility Theory -- 3.5 Paradoxes from A to Z -- 3.6 Utility Scales -- 3.7 Attitudes to Risk -- 3.8 Unbounded Utility? -- 3.9 Positive Applications? -- 4 Utilitarianism -- 4.1 Revealed Preference in Social Choice -- 4.2 Traditional Approaches to Utilitarianism -- 4.3 Intensity of Preference -- 4.4 Interpersonal Comparison of Utility -- 5 Classical Probability -- 5.1 Origins -- 5.2 Measurable Sets -- 5.3 Kolmogorov's Axioms -- 5.4 Probability on the Natural Numbers -- 5.5 Conditional Probability -- 5.6 Upper and Lower Probabilities -- 6 Frequency -- 6.1 Interpreting Classical Probability -- 6.2 Randomizing Devices -- 6.3 Richard von Mises -- 6.4 Refining von Mises' Theory -- 6.5 Totally Muddling Boxes -- 7 Bayesian Decision Theory -- 7.1 Subjective Probability -- 7.2 Savage's Theory -- 7.3 Dutch Books -- 7.4 Bayesian Updating -- 7.5 Constructing Priors -- 7.6 Bayesian Reasoning in Games -- 8 Epistemology -- 8.1 Knowledge -- 8.2 Bayesian Epistemology -- 8.3 Information Sets -- 8.4 Knowledge in a Large World -- 8.5 Revealed Knowledge? -- 9 Large Worlds -- 9.1 Complete Ignorance -- 9.2 Extending Bayesian Decision Theory -- 9.3 Muddled Strategies in Game Theory -- 9.4 Conclusion -- 10 Mathematical Notes.

10.1 Compatible Preferences -- 10.2 Hausdor.'s Paradox of the Sphere -- 10.3 Conditioning on Zero-Probability Events -- 10.4 Applying the Hahn-Banach Theorem -- 10.5 Muddling Boxes -- 10.6 Solving a Functional Equation -- 10.7 Additivity -- 10.8 Muddled Equilibria in Game Theory -- References -- Index -- A -- B -- C -- D -- E -- F -- G -- H -- I -- J -- K -- L -- M -- N -- O -- P -- Q -- R -- S -- T -- U -- V -- W -- X -- Z.