FrontMatter -- Preface -- Contents -- Part I: Introduction -- 1 Analysis in the U.S. Intelligence Community: Missions, Masters, and Methods--Thomas Fingar -- Part II: Analytic Methods -- 2 Operations Research and Intelligence Analysis--Edward H. Kaplan -- 3 Applications of Game Theory in Support of Intelligence Analysis--Bruce Bueno de Mesquita -- 4 Use of Signal Detection Theory as a Tool for Enhancing Performance and Evaluating Tradecraft in Intelligence Analysis--Gary H. McClelland -- 5 Qualitative Analysis for the Intelligence Community--Kiron K. Skinner -- Part III: Analysts -- 6 Individual Reasoning--Barbara A. Spellman -- 7 Intuitive Theories of Behavior--Hal R. Arkes and James Kajdasz -- 8 Group Processes in Intelligence Analysis--Reid Hastie -- 9 Social Categorization and Intergroup Dynamics--Catherine H. Tinsley -- Part IV: Organizations -- 10 Communicating About Analysis--Baruch Fischhoff -- 11 Structuring Accountability Systems in Organizations: Key Trade-Offs and Critical Unknowns--Philip E. Tetlock and Barbara A. Mellers -- 12 Workforce Effectiveness: Acquiring Human Resources and Developing Human Capital--Steve W. J. Kozlowski -- 13 Implementing Change: Organizational Challenges--Amy Zegart -- Appendix A: Contents List for Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow: Advances from the Behavioral and Social Sciences -- Appendix B: Biographical Sketches of Authors and Staff.